Язык:Русский
Spain v Croatia
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Spain (Хозяева)
Прогноз 77.25%1.29справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.44%
Преимущество -2.75%
Kelly -13.77%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
74.47%77.14%77.08%79.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.07%81.97%80.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Croatia (Гости)
Прогноз 8.64%11.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.04%
Преимущество +0.643%
Kelly +0.699%
Рост +0.056%
при максимальном коэффициенте 12.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
7.53%8.71%8.60%10.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
8.7510.5110.5012.5011.43%9.52%9.52%8.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 14.11%7.09справедливый коэффициент
EV +12.90%
Преимущество +1.61%
Kelly +1.84%
Рост +0.238%
при максимальном коэффициенте 8.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.66%14.15%14.32%16.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.706.666.508.0017.54%15.02%15.38%12.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Spain (Хозяева): 77.25%; Croatia (Гости): 8.64%; Ничья: 14.11%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.09. 5 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 8.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +12.90%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.02%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +12.90%E +1.61%K +1.84%G +0.238% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.79%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.58%EV -3.20%E -0.286%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +7.39%E +0.971%K +1.12%G +0.083% | 4.0% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.96%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.95%EV +5.84%E +0.779%K +0.898%G +0.052% | 3.0% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.05%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.60%EV -2.77%E -0.246%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.35%EV +2.31%E +0.319%K +0.370%G +0.009% | 3.3% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.74%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV +2.31%E +0.319%K +0.370%G +0.009% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.06%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -9.62%E -8.23%K -56.61%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.68%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.64%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.76%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.59%EV -6.16%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -0.606%E -0.053%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 18:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -9.62%E -8.23%K -56.61%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -20.05%E -2.17%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -20.05%E -2.17%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 18:37 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.08%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.19%EV -12.71%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -11.09%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.47%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -24.37%E -2.79%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.70%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.33%E -2.55%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -19.56%E -3.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -19.56%E -3.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |