Langue:Français
Spain v Croatia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Spain (Local)
Prévision 77.25%1.29cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -2.75%
Kelly -13.77%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.47%77.14%77.08%79.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.07%81.97%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Croatia (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.64%11.57cote équitable
EV +8.04%
Avantage +0.643%
Kelly +0.699%
Croissance +0.056%
avec la cote maximale 12.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.53%8.71%8.60%10.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.7510.5110.5012.5011.43%9.52%9.52%8.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 14.11%7.09cote équitable
EV +12.90%
Avantage +1.61%
Kelly +1.84%
Croissance +0.238%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.66%14.15%14.32%16.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.706.666.508.0017.54%15.02%15.38%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Spain (Local) : 77.25% ; Croatia (Visiteur) : 8.64% ; Match nul : 14.11%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.09. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.00, soit une espérance positive de +12.90%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.02%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +12.90%E +1.61%K +1.84%G +0.238% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.79%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.58%EV -3.20%E -0.286%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +7.39%E +0.971%K +1.12%G +0.083% | 4.0% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.96%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.95%EV +5.84%E +0.779%K +0.898%G +0.052% | 3.0% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.05%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.60%EV -2.77%E -0.246%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.35%EV +2.31%E +0.319%K +0.370%G +0.009% | 3.3% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.74%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV +2.31%E +0.319%K +0.370%G +0.009% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.06%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -9.62%E -8.23%K -56.61%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.68%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.64%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.76%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.59%EV -6.16%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -0.606%E -0.053%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 18:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -9.62%E -8.23%K -56.61%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -20.05%E -2.17%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -20.05%E -2.17%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 18:37 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.08%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.19%EV -12.71%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -11.09%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.47%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -24.37%E -2.79%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.70%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.33%E -2.55%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -19.56%E -3.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -19.56%E -3.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |