StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Spain v Croatia

Aanvang: 2026-09-29 18:45 UTC

Eindstand: Spain 4–1 Croatia

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

47 wedaanbieders (15 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Spain (Thuis)

Prognose 77.25%1.29margevrije odds
EV -3.44%
Voordeel -2.75%
Kelly -13.77%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.25

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
74.47%77.14%77.08%79.02%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.07%81.97%80.00%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Croatia (Uit)

Prognose 8.64%11.57margevrije odds
EV +8.04%
Voordeel +0.643%
Kelly +0.699%
Groei +0.056%

bij maximale odds 12.50

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
7.53%8.71%8.60%10.64%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
8.7510.5110.5012.5011.43%9.52%9.52%8.00%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 14.11%7.09margevrije odds
EV +12.90%
Voordeel +1.61%
Kelly +1.84%
Groei +0.238%

bij maximale odds 8.00

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
11.66%14.15%14.32%16.52%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
5.706.666.508.0017.54%15.02%15.38%12.50%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Spain (Thuis): 77.25%; Croatia (Uit): 8.64%; Gelijkspel: 14.11%. Voor Gelijkspel kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 7.09. 5 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 8.00, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +12.90%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (47 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspel ▼MargeBijgewerkt
Sky Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.02%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +12.90%E +1.61%K +1.84%G +0.238%7.2%2026-09-29 18:35
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.79%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.58%EV -3.20%E -0.286%K -0.314%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +7.39%E +0.971%K +1.12%G +0.083%4.0%2026-09-29 18:35
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.96%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.95%EV +5.84%E +0.779%K +0.898%G +0.052%3.0%2026-09-29 18:31
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.05%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.60%EV -2.77%E -0.246%K -0.270%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.35%EV +2.31%E +0.319%K +0.370%G +0.009%3.3%2026-09-29 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.74%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV +2.31%E +0.319%K +0.370%G +0.009%7.6%2026-09-29 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-29 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-29 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-29 18:40
Suprabets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 18:38
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 18:40
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 18:24
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-29 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.06%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-29 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -9.62%E -8.23%K -56.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-29 18:39
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 18:40
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 18:39
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 18:40
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-29 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.68%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-29 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.64%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.76%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.59%EV -6.16%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-29 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 18:40
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 18:40
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -0.606%E -0.053%K -0.058%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 18:33
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-29 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-29 18:39
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 18:39
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -9.62%E -8.23%K -56.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-29 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -20.05%E -2.17%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-29 18:39
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -20.05%E -2.17%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-29 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-29 18:37
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-29 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-29 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.08%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.19%EV -12.71%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -11.09%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-29 18:34
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.47%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -24.37%E -2.79%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 18:39
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-29 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.70%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-29 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-29 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-29 18:40
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.33%E -2.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-29 18:40
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -19.56%E -3.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 18:38
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -19.56%E -3.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (4)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%0.6%2026-09-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%0.6%2026-09-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%0.6%2026-09-29 18:40
Matchbook◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%0.6%2026-09-29 18:40