StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Spain v Croatia

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-29 18:45 UTC

Endstand: Spain 4–1 Croatia

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Spain (Heim)

Prognose 77.25%1.29faire Quote
EV -3.44%
Vorteil -2.75%
Kelly -13.77%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
74.47%77.14%77.08%79.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.07%81.97%80.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Croatia (Auswärts)

Prognose 8.64%11.57faire Quote
EV +8.04%
Vorteil +0.643%
Kelly +0.699%
Wachstum +0.056%

bei einer Höchstquote von 12.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.53%8.71%8.60%10.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.7510.5110.5012.5011.43%9.52%9.52%8.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 14.11%7.09faire Quote
EV +12.90%
Vorteil +1.61%
Kelly +1.84%
Wachstum +0.238%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.66%14.15%14.32%16.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.706.666.508.0017.54%15.02%15.38%12.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Spain (Heim): 77.25%; Croatia (Auswärts): 8.64%; Unentschieden: 14.11%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.09. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 8.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +12.90%.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Sky Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.02%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +12.90%E +1.61%K +1.84%G +0.238%7.2%2026-09-29 18:35
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.79%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.58%EV -3.20%E -0.286%K -0.314%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +7.39%E +0.971%K +1.12%G +0.083%4.0%2026-09-29 18:35
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.96%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.95%EV +5.84%E +0.779%K +0.898%G +0.052%3.0%2026-09-29 18:31
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.05%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.60%EV -2.77%E -0.246%K -0.270%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.35%EV +2.31%E +0.319%K +0.370%G +0.009%3.3%2026-09-29 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.74%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV +2.31%E +0.319%K +0.370%G +0.009%7.6%2026-09-29 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-29 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-29 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-29 18:40
Suprabets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 18:38
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 18:40
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 18:24
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-29 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.06%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-29 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -9.62%E -8.23%K -56.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-29 18:39
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 18:40
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 18:39
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 18:40
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-29 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.68%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-29 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.64%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.76%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.59%EV -6.16%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-29 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 18:40
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 18:40
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -0.606%E -0.053%K -0.058%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 18:33
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-29 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-29 18:39
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 18:39
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -9.62%E -8.23%K -56.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-29 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -20.05%E -2.17%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-29 18:39
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -20.05%E -2.17%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-29 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-29 18:37
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-29 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-29 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.08%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.19%EV -12.71%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -11.09%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-29 18:34
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.47%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -24.37%E -2.79%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 18:39
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-29 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.70%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-29 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-29 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-29 18:40
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.33%E -2.55%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-29 18:40
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -19.56%E -3.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 18:38
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -19.56%E -3.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 18:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%0.6%2026-09-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%0.6%2026-09-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%0.6%2026-09-29 18:40
Matchbook◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%0.6%2026-09-29 18:40