Lingua:Italiano
Spain v Croatia
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Spain (Casa)
Previsione 77.25%1.29quota equa
EV -3.44%
Vantaggio -2.75%
Kelly -13.77%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.47%77.14%77.08%79.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.07%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Croatia (Trasferta)
Previsione 8.64%11.57quota equa
EV +8.04%
Vantaggio +0.643%
Kelly +0.699%
Crescita +0.056%
ipotizzando la quota massima 12.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.53%8.71%8.60%10.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.7510.5110.5012.5011.43%9.52%9.52%8.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 14.11%7.09quota equa
EV +12.90%
Vantaggio +1.61%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescita +0.238%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.66%14.15%14.32%16.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.706.666.508.0017.54%15.02%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Spain (Casa): 77.25%; Croatia (Trasferta): 8.64%; Pareggio: 14.11%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.09. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +12.90%.
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.02%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +12.90%E +1.61%K +1.84%G +0.238% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.79%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.58%EV -3.20%E -0.286%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +7.39%E +0.971%K +1.12%G +0.083% | 4.0% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.96%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.95%EV +5.84%E +0.779%K +0.898%G +0.052% | 3.0% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.05%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.60%EV -2.77%E -0.246%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.35%EV +2.31%E +0.319%K +0.370%G +0.009% | 3.3% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.74%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV +2.31%E +0.319%K +0.370%G +0.009% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -8.08%E -6.79%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -8.85%E -7.50%K -49.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.06%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -9.62%E -8.23%K -56.61%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -1.22%E -0.174%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.68%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -4.74%E -0.703%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.64%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.76%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.59%EV -6.16%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -0.606%E -0.053%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 18:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +3.72%E +0.310%K +0.338%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -9.25%E -0.881%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -9.62%E -8.23%K -56.61%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -4.93%E -0.448%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -8.27%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -20.05%E -2.17%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.16%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -20.05%E -2.17%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 18:37 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -9.68%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.08%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.19%EV -12.71%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -11.09%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.47%EV -3.44%E -2.75%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -24.37%E -2.79%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.70%EV -6.53%E -5.40%K -31.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -17.89%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -11.80%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -13.57%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.33%E -2.55%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -19.56%E -3.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV +8.04%E +0.643%K +0.699%G +0.056% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -19.56%E -3.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |