Language:English
Belarus v Finland
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Belarus (Local)
Prediction 24.08%4.15fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.365%
Kelly -0.484%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.03%24.07%24.06%25.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.833.804.0927.03%26.08%26.32%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Finland (Visit)
Prediction 47.69%2.10fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -4.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.90%47.70%47.69%48.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.941.952.0052.91%51.49%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.23%3.54fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.346%
Kelly -0.484%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.82%28.23%28.25%29.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.303.5032.26%30.01%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belarus (Local): 24.08%; Finland (Visit): 47.69%; Draw: 28.23%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.70%EV -1.49%E -0.365%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.46%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.85%EV -1.77%E -0.510%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.68%EV -2.46%E -0.607%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -2.90%E -0.844%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -3.66%E -0.915%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -9.39%E -4.94%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -3.66%E -0.915%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -12.50%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.16%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -8.91%E -4.67%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.84%EV -10.24%E -3.22%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 14:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.87%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -8.44%E -4.39%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.87%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -8.44%E -4.39%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.79%EV -8.44%E -4.39%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.91%E -4.67%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.91%E -4.67%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.01%EV -6.05%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 09:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -1.21%E -0.346%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 09:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -2.62%E -0.760%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 12:16 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 14:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.45%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.21%EV -7.42%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 08:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -8.44%E -4.39%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 10:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.31%EV -9.87%E -5.22%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.91%E -4.67%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.68%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -1.21%E -0.346%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.68%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -1.21%E -0.346%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.68%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -1.21%E -0.346%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 09:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.68%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 14:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.68%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.39%EV -7.96%E -4.12%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.23%EV -8.55%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 09:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.68%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.91%E -4.67%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.27%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.89%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -7.96%E -4.12%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 09:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.89%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.44%E -4.39%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.89%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.44%E -4.39%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.89%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.44%E -4.39%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.89%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.44%E -4.39%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -5.44%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 09:06 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02% | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02% | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 14:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.78% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.85% | 2.6% | 2026-10-05 15:01 |