Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belarus v Finland

2026-10-06 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belarus (Local)

Prediction 27.01%3.70fair odd
EV -0.067%
Edge -0.018%
Kelly -0.025%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.19%26.93%27.06%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.463.7030.77%28.74%28.86%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Finland (Visit)

Prediction 45.54%2.20fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.41%45.51%45.52%47.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.012.022.1451.55%49.68%49.50%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.45%3.64fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%27.56%27.42%29.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.383.403.5432.05%29.58%29.41%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Belarus (Local): 27.01%; Finland (Visit): 45.54%; Draw: 27.45%. For Belarus (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.702. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.700, with an expected value of -0.067%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.75%E -5.48%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.75%E -5.48%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.75%E -5.48%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 13:16
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:16
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:16
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.25%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.34%EV -2.55%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.41%EV -2.81%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 12:29
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.12%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 17:40
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.12%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.22%EV -4.93%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.41%EV -3.92%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 12:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:29
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 12:31
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 14:30
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -14.34%E -4.60%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 17:30
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -14.34%E -4.60%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 17:30
ReBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.58%EV -6.01%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.56%EV -7.56%E -3.72%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.86%EV -8.85%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.30%EV -6.01%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.22%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.48%EV -8.57%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 18:50
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.82%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.70%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.47%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 12:29
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:30
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:30
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 14:45
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:31
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-04 12:30
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 12:30
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-04 15:55
Fliff🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 15:30
Suprabets🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 27.24%EV -8.98%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.44%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.32%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 12:31
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:30
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-04 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-04 12:29
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-04 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -11.66%E -6.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-04 12:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%8.4%2026-10-04 19:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%8.4%2026-10-04 19:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%8.8%2026-10-04 18:25