Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Belarus v Finland

2026-10-06 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Testa a testa

40 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Belarus (Casa)

Previsione 27.01%3.70quota equa
EV -0.067%
Vantaggio -0.018%
Kelly -0.025%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.19%26.93%27.06%28.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.483.463.7030.77%28.74%28.86%27.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Finland (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.54%2.20quota equa
EV -2.55%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -2.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.41%45.51%45.52%47.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.942.012.022.1451.55%49.68%49.50%46.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.45%3.64quota equa
EV -2.81%
Vantaggio -0.794%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.76%27.56%27.42%29.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.123.383.403.5432.05%29.58%29.41%28.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Belarus (Casa): 27.01%; Finland (Trasferta): 45.54%; Pareggio: 27.45%. Per Belarus (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.702. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.700, con un valore atteso del -0.067%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.75%E -5.48%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.75%E -5.48%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.75%E -5.48%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 13:16
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:16
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:16
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.25%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.34%EV -2.55%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.41%EV -2.81%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 12:29
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.12%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 17:40
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.12%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.22%EV -4.93%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.41%EV -3.92%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 12:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:29
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 12:31
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 14:30
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -14.34%E -4.60%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 17:30
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -14.34%E -4.60%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 17:30
ReBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.58%EV -6.01%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.56%EV -7.56%E -3.72%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.86%EV -8.85%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.30%EV -6.01%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.22%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.48%EV -8.57%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 18:50
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.82%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.70%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.47%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 12:29
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:30
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:30
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 14:45
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:31
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-04 12:30
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 12:30
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-04 15:55
Fliff🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 15:30
Suprabets🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 27.24%EV -8.98%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.44%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.32%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 12:31
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:30
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-04 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-04 12:29
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-04 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -11.66%E -6.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-04 12:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%6.2%2026-10-04 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%6.2%2026-10-04 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%6.2%2026-10-04 19:35