Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Belarus v Finland

2026-10-06 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Belarus (Local)

Prévision 27.01%3.70cote équitable
EV -0.067%
Avantage -0.018%
Kelly -0.025%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.19%26.93%27.06%28.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.483.463.7030.77%28.74%28.86%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Finland (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.54%2.20cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.41%45.51%45.52%47.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.942.012.022.1451.55%49.68%49.50%46.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.45%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -0.794%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.76%27.56%27.42%29.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.123.383.403.5432.05%29.58%29.41%28.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Belarus (Local) : 27.01% ; Finland (Visiteur) : 45.54% ; Match nul : 27.45%. Pour Belarus (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.702. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.700, pour une espérance de -0.067% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.75%E -5.48%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.75%E -5.48%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.75%E -5.48%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 13:16
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:16
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:16
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.25%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.34%EV -2.55%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.41%EV -2.81%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 12:29
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.12%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 17:40
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.12%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.22%EV -4.93%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.41%EV -3.92%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 12:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:29
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 12:31
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 14:30
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -14.34%E -4.60%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 17:30
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -14.34%E -4.60%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 17:30
ReBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.58%EV -6.01%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.56%EV -7.56%E -3.72%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.86%EV -8.85%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.30%EV -6.01%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.22%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.48%EV -8.57%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 18:50
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.82%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.70%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.47%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 12:29
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:30
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:30
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 14:45
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:31
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-04 12:30
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 12:30
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-04 15:55
Fliff🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 15:30
Suprabets🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 27.24%EV -8.98%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.44%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.32%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 12:31
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:30
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-04 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-04 12:29
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-04 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -11.66%E -6.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-04 12:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%6.2%2026-10-04 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%6.2%2026-10-04 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%6.2%2026-10-04 19:35