StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Belarus v Finland

2026-10-06 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Belarus (Hemma)

Prognos 27.01%3.70rättvist odds
EV -0.067%
Fördel -0.018%
Kelly -0.025%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.19%26.93%27.06%28.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.483.463.7030.77%28.74%28.86%27.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Finland (Borta)

Prognos 45.54%2.20rättvist odds
EV -2.55%
Fördel -1.19%
Kelly -2.24%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.14

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.41%45.51%45.52%47.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.942.012.022.1451.55%49.68%49.50%46.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.45%3.64rättvist odds
EV -2.81%
Fördel -0.794%
Kelly -1.11%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.54

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.76%27.56%27.42%29.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.123.383.403.5432.05%29.58%29.41%28.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Belarus (Hemma): 27.01%; Finland (Borta): 45.54%; Oavgjort: 27.45%. För Belarus (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.702. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.700, med väntevärdet -0.067%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.75%E -5.48%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.75%E -5.48%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.75%E -5.48%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 13:16
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:16
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:16
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.25%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.34%EV -2.55%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.41%EV -2.81%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 12:29
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.12%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 17:40
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.12%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.22%EV -4.93%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.41%EV -3.92%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 12:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:29
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 12:31
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 14:30
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -14.34%E -4.60%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 17:30
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -14.34%E -4.60%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 17:30
ReBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.58%EV -6.01%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.56%EV -7.56%E -3.72%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.86%EV -8.85%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.30%EV -6.01%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.22%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.48%EV -8.57%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 18:50
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.82%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.70%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.47%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 12:29
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:30
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:30
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 14:45
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:31
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-04 12:30
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 12:30
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-04 15:55
Fliff🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-04 15:30
Suprabets🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 27.24%EV -8.98%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.44%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.32%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 12:31
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:30
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-04 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-04 12:29
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-04 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -11.66%E -6.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-04 12:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%6.2%2026-10-04 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%6.2%2026-10-04 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%6.2%2026-10-04 19:35