Школа коэффициентов

SC Freiburg v Aston Villa

Начало: 2026-05-20 19:00 UTC

Итог: SC Freiburg 0–3 Aston Villa

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

SC Freiburg (Хозяева)

Прогноз 16.44%6.08справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.21%
Преимущество +0.814%
Kelly +0.965%
Рост +0.050%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.38%16.46%16.42%17.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.305.805.756.4018.87%17.23%17.39%15.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Aston Villa (Гости)

Прогноз 59.50%1.68справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.83%
Преимущество -1.11%
Kelly -2.82%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.22%59.50%59.52%60.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.541.591.601.6564.94%62.82%62.50%60.61%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 24.06%4.16справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.07%
Преимущество +0.254%
Kelly +0.334%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.06%24.04%24.06%25.20%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.61%25.64%23.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
LowVig.ag6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.70%EV -1.82%E -0.446%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 18:50
PMU (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.39%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 18:50
Pinnacle6.15I 16.26%NM 15.79%EV +1.10%E +0.179%K +0.214%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.94%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 18:40
BetOnline.ag6.15I 16.26%NM 15.72%EV +1.10%E +0.179%K +0.214%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.41%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -2.54%E -0.627%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 18:50
NordicBet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%EV +0.278%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.34%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.84%EV -2.54%E -0.627%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 18:50
Betsson6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%EV +0.278%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.34%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.84%EV -2.54%E -0.627%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 18:50
BetUS6.10I 16.39%NM 15.62%EV +0.278%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:50
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.67%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 18:39
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 18:38
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 18:50
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Casumo6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Bally Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Suprabets6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 18:49
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 18:49
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 18:50
Marathon Bet5.95I 16.81%NM 16.42%EV -2.19%E -0.368%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.31%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%EV +1.07%E +0.254%K +0.334%G +0.004%2.3%2026-05-20 18:50
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -3.01%E -0.510%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.93%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Coolbet5.85I 17.09%NM 16.54%EV -3.83%E -0.655%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 18:49
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:50
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Fanatics5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 18:48
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.49%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.38%EV -8.37%E -5.44%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 18:50
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.38%EV -8.37%E -5.44%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 18:50
NetBet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -6.30%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.08%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 18:49
1xBet5.64I 17.73%NM 17.20%EV -7.28%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -1.34%E -0.326%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:40
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.36%EV -7.78%E -5.02%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 18:44
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -7.18%E -4.61%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -7.18%E -4.61%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 18:50
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 18:49
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 18:50
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 18:40
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 18:50
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 18:40
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 18:47
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 18:40
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:40
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.78%E -5.02%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 18:40
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -12.87%E -2.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -1.34%E -0.326%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 18:40
Winamax (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -12.87%E -2.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.06%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 18:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%0.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%0.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-20 18:50
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%2.0%2026-05-20 18:50