مدرسة الاحتمالات

SC Freiburg v Aston Villa

البداية: 2026-05-20 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: SC Freiburg 0–3 Aston Villa

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

SC Freiburg (المضيف)

التنبؤ 16.44%6.08السعر العادل
EV +5.21%
الأفضلية +0.814%
Kelly +0.965%
النمو +0.050%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.38%16.46%16.42%17.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.305.805.756.4018.87%17.23%17.39%15.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Aston Villa (الضيف)

التنبؤ 59.50%1.68السعر العادل
EV -1.83%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -2.82%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.22%59.50%59.52%60.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.541.591.601.6564.94%62.82%62.50%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.06%4.16السعر العادل
EV +1.07%
الأفضلية +0.254%
Kelly +0.334%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.06%24.04%24.06%25.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.61%25.64%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
LowVig.ag6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.70%EV -1.82%E -0.446%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 18:50
PMU (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.39%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 18:50
Pinnacle6.15I 16.26%NM 15.79%EV +1.10%E +0.179%K +0.214%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.94%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 18:40
BetOnline.ag6.15I 16.26%NM 15.72%EV +1.10%E +0.179%K +0.214%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.41%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -2.54%E -0.627%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 18:50
NordicBet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%EV +0.278%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.34%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.84%EV -2.54%E -0.627%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 18:50
Betsson6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%EV +0.278%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.34%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.84%EV -2.54%E -0.627%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 18:50
BetUS6.10I 16.39%NM 15.62%EV +0.278%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:50
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.67%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 18:39
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 18:38
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 18:50
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Casumo6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Bally Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Suprabets6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 18:49
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 18:49
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 18:50
Marathon Bet5.95I 16.81%NM 16.42%EV -2.19%E -0.368%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.31%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%EV +1.07%E +0.254%K +0.334%G +0.004%2.3%2026-05-20 18:50
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -3.01%E -0.510%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.93%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Coolbet5.85I 17.09%NM 16.54%EV -3.83%E -0.655%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 18:49
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:50
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Fanatics5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 18:48
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.49%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.38%EV -8.37%E -5.44%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 18:50
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.38%EV -8.37%E -5.44%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 18:50
NetBet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -6.30%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.08%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 18:49
1xBet5.64I 17.73%NM 17.20%EV -7.28%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -1.34%E -0.326%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:40
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.36%EV -7.78%E -5.02%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 18:44
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -7.18%E -4.61%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -7.18%E -4.61%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 18:50
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 18:49
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 18:50
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 18:40
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 18:50
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 18:40
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 18:47
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 18:40
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:40
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.78%E -5.02%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 18:40
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -12.87%E -2.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -1.34%E -0.326%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 18:40
Winamax (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -12.87%E -2.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.06%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 18:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%0.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%0.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-20 18:50
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%2.0%2026-05-20 18:50