Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Freiburg v Aston Villa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 19:00 UTC

Score final : SC Freiburg 0–3 Aston Villa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Freiburg (Local)

Prévision 16.44%6.08cote équitable
EV +5.21%
Avantage +0.814%
Kelly +0.965%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.38%16.46%16.42%17.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.305.805.756.4018.87%17.23%17.39%15.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aston Villa (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.50%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.22%59.50%59.52%60.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.591.601.6564.94%62.82%62.50%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.06%4.16cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.254%
Kelly +0.334%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.06%24.04%24.06%25.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.61%25.64%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SC Freiburg (Local) : 16.44% ; Aston Villa (Visiteur) : 59.50% ; Match nul : 24.06%. Pour SC Freiburg (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.08. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.40, soit une espérance positive de +5.21%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.70%EV -1.82%E -0.446%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.39%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 18:50
Pinnacle🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.79%EV +1.10%E +0.179%K +0.214%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.94%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.72%EV +1.10%E +0.179%K +0.214%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.41%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -2.54%E -0.627%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 18:50
NordicBet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%EV +0.278%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.34%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.84%EV -2.54%E -0.627%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 18:50
Betsson🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%EV +0.278%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.34%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.84%EV -2.54%E -0.627%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 18:50
BetUS🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.62%EV +0.278%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:50
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.67%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 18:38
Unibet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 18:50
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Casumo🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
betPARX🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Bally Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Suprabets🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 18:49
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 18:49
Everygame🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯5.95I 16.81%NM 16.42%EV -2.19%E -0.368%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.31%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%EV +1.07%E +0.254%K +0.334%G +0.004%2.3%2026-05-20 18:50
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -3.01%E -0.510%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.93%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Coolbet🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.54%EV -3.83%E -0.655%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 18:49
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:50
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 18:48
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.49%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.38%EV -8.37%E -5.44%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.38%EV -8.37%E -5.44%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -6.30%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.08%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 18:49
1xBet🎯5.64I 17.73%NM 17.20%EV -7.28%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -1.34%E -0.326%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:40
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.36%EV -7.78%E -5.02%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 18:44
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -7.18%E -4.61%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -7.18%E -4.61%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 18:50
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 18:49
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 18:50
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 18:40
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 18:50
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 18:40
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Caesars🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 18:47
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 18:40
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.78%E -5.02%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -12.87%E -2.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -1.34%E -0.326%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -12.87%E -2.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.06%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%0.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%0.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-20 18:50
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%2.0%2026-05-20 18:50