A Escola das Odds

SC Freiburg v Aston Villa

Início: 2026-05-20 19:00 UTC

Final: SC Freiburg 0–3 Aston Villa

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

SC Freiburg (Local)

Previsão 16.44%6.08odd justa
EV +5.21%
Vantagem +0.814%
Kelly +0.965%
Crescimento +0.050%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.38%16.46%16.42%17.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.305.805.756.4018.87%17.23%17.39%15.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aston Villa (Visitante)

Previsão 59.50%1.68odd justa
EV -1.83%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -2.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.22%59.50%59.52%60.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.541.591.601.6564.94%62.82%62.50%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.06%4.16odd justa
EV +1.07%
Vantagem +0.254%
Kelly +0.334%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.06%24.04%24.06%25.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.61%25.64%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%EV +5.21%E +0.814%K +0.965%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.02%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-20 18:50
LowVig.ag6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.70%EV -1.82%E -0.446%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 18:50
PMU (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV +2.74%E +0.439%K +0.523%G +0.014%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.39%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 18:50
Pinnacle6.15I 16.26%NM 15.79%EV +1.10%E +0.179%K +0.214%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.94%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 18:40
BetOnline.ag6.15I 16.26%NM 15.72%EV +1.10%E +0.179%K +0.214%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.41%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -2.54%E -0.627%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 18:50
NordicBet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%EV +0.278%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.34%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.84%EV -2.54%E -0.627%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 18:50
Betsson6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%EV +0.278%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.34%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.84%EV -2.54%E -0.627%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 18:50
BetUS6.10I 16.39%NM 15.62%EV +0.278%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:50
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.67%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 18:39
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 18:38
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 18:50
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Casumo6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Bally Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Suprabets6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 18:49
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 18:49
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -1.37%E -0.228%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 18:50
Marathon Bet5.95I 16.81%NM 16.42%EV -2.19%E -0.368%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.31%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%EV +1.07%E +0.254%K +0.334%G +0.004%2.3%2026-05-20 18:50
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -3.01%E -0.510%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.93%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Coolbet5.85I 17.09%NM 16.54%EV -3.83%E -0.655%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 18:49
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:50
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Fanatics5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 18:48
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.49%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.38%EV -8.37%E -5.44%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 18:50
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -5.48%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.38%EV -8.37%E -5.44%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 18:50
NetBet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -6.30%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.08%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 18:49
1xBet5.64I 17.73%NM 17.20%EV -7.28%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.14%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -1.34%E -0.326%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-20 18:50
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:40
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.36%EV -7.78%E -5.02%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 18:44
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -7.18%E -4.61%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -7.94%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -7.18%E -4.61%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 18:50
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 18:49
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 18:50
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 18:40
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 18:50
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 18:40
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 18:40
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -5.40%E -3.40%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 18:47
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 18:40
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:50
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.59%E -4.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:40
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.59%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.78%E -5.02%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 18:40
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -12.87%E -2.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -1.34%E -0.326%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 18:40
Winamax (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -12.87%E -2.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.06%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.74%E -0.936%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%0.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%0.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-20 18:50
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-05-20 18:50
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%2.0%2026-05-20 18:50