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SC Freiburg v FK Jablonec
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Freiburg (Local)
Prediction 75.38%1.33fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -9.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.56%75.32%75.43%79.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.231.231.2985.47%81.29%80.97%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FK Jablonec (Visit)
Prediction 8.29%12.06fair odd
EV +16.04%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.198%
assuming max odds 14.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.74%8.30%8.36%9.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.5912.0014.0011.11%8.63%8.33%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.33%6.12fair odd
EV +10.25%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.183%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.98%16.38%16.20%18.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.725.756.7520.41%17.49%17.41%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Freiburg (Local): 75.38%; FK Jablonec (Visit): 8.29%; Draw: 16.33%. For FK Jablonec (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.06. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +16.04%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.198% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +10.25%E +1.52%K +1.78%G +0.183% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +16.04%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.198% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +10.25%E +1.52%K +1.78%G +0.183% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.33%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 13.90I 7.19%NM 6.83%EV +15.22%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.179% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.84%EV -13.11%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.52%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +7.76%E +0.597%K +0.646%G +0.050% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-15 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.64%EV -7.28%E -5.92%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -6.90%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-15 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -6.90%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-15 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -11.81%E -10.09%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV +2.08%E +0.333%K +0.396%G +0.008% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -11.81%E -10.09%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV +2.08%E +0.333%K +0.396%G +0.008% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -11.81%E -10.09%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV +2.08%E +0.333%K +0.396%G +0.008% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.63%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.33%EV +2.90%E +0.460%K +0.547%G +0.016% | 3.6% | 2026-10-15 18:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.96%EV -7.28%E -5.92%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -7.28%E -5.92%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -4.68%E -0.407%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.99%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.86%EV -4.68%E -0.407%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -8.54%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.53%E -5.27%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.73%EV -6.53%E -5.27%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -8.79%E -7.27%K -41.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -11.05%E -9.37%K -61.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.57%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 10.85I 9.22%NM 8.80%EV -10.07%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.63%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.23%EV -4.27%E -3.36%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.85%EV -10.48%E -0.970%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-15 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.23%EV -4.27%E -3.36%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.85%EV -10.48%E -0.970%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.38%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -12.97%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.76%E -2.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-15 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -8.54%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-15 18:33 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.81%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.32%EV -21.26%E -2.24%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.87%EV -14.25%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-15 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.56%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.67%EV -25.40%E -2.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.77%EV -19.97%E -4.08%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-15 18:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52% | 0.6% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 1.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 1.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |