Langue:Français
SC Freiburg v FK Jablonec
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
SC Freiburg (Local)
Prévision 75.38%1.33cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -9.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.56%75.32%75.43%79.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.231.231.2985.47%81.29%80.97%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
FK Jablonec (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.29%12.06cote équitable
EV +16.04%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.198%
avec la cote maximale 14.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.74%8.30%8.36%9.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0011.5912.0014.0011.11%8.63%8.33%7.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 16.33%6.12cote équitable
EV +10.25%
Avantage +1.52%
Kelly +1.78%
Croissance +0.183%
avec la cote maximale 6.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.98%16.38%16.20%18.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.905.725.756.7520.41%17.49%17.41%14.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SC Freiburg (Local) : 75.38% ; FK Jablonec (Visiteur) : 8.29% ; Match nul : 16.33%. Pour FK Jablonec (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 12.06. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 14.00, soit une espérance positive de +16.04%.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +16.04%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.198% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +10.25%E +1.52%K +1.78%G +0.183% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +16.04%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.198% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +10.25%E +1.52%K +1.78%G +0.183% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.33%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 13.90I 7.19%NM 6.83%EV +15.22%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.179% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.84%EV -13.11%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.52%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +7.76%E +0.597%K +0.646%G +0.050% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-15 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.64%EV -7.28%E -5.92%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -6.90%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-15 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -6.90%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-15 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -11.81%E -10.09%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV +2.08%E +0.333%K +0.396%G +0.008% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -11.81%E -10.09%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV +2.08%E +0.333%K +0.396%G +0.008% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -11.81%E -10.09%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV +2.08%E +0.333%K +0.396%G +0.008% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.63%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.33%EV +2.90%E +0.460%K +0.547%G +0.016% | 3.6% | 2026-10-15 18:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.96%EV -7.28%E -5.92%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -7.28%E -5.92%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -4.68%E -0.407%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.99%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.86%EV -4.68%E -0.407%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -8.54%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.53%E -5.27%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.73%EV -6.53%E -5.27%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -8.79%E -7.27%K -41.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -11.05%E -9.37%K -61.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.57%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 10.85I 9.22%NM 8.80%EV -10.07%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.63%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.23%EV -4.27%E -3.36%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.85%EV -10.48%E -0.970%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-15 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.23%EV -4.27%E -3.36%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.85%EV -10.48%E -0.970%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.38%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -12.97%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.76%E -2.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-15 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -8.54%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-15 18:33 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.81%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.32%EV -21.26%E -2.24%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.87%EV -14.25%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-15 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.56%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.67%EV -25.40%E -2.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.77%EV -19.97%E -4.08%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-15 18:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52% | 0.6% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 1.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 1.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |