StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

SC Freiburg v FK Jablonec

Spielbeginn: 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC

Endstand: SC Freiburg 3–2 FK Jablonec

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

42 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

SC Freiburg (Heim)

Prognose 75.38%1.33faire Quote
EV -2.76%
Vorteil -2.14%
Kelly -9.52%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.56%75.32%75.43%79.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.171.231.231.2985.47%81.29%80.97%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

FK Jablonec (Auswärts)

Prognose 8.29%12.06faire Quote
EV +16.04%
Vorteil +1.15%
Kelly +1.23%
Wachstum +0.198%

bei einer Höchstquote von 14.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
6.74%8.30%8.36%9.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
9.0011.5912.0014.0011.11%8.63%8.33%7.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 16.33%6.12faire Quote
EV +10.25%
Vorteil +1.52%
Kelly +1.78%
Wachstum +0.183%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.98%16.38%16.20%18.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.905.725.756.7520.41%17.49%17.41%14.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: SC Freiburg (Heim): 75.38%; FK Jablonec (Auswärts): 8.29%; Unentschieden: 16.33%. Für FK Jablonec (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 12.06. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 14.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +16.04%.

Wettanbieterquoten (42 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.21%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +16.04%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.198%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +10.25%E +1.52%K +1.78%G +0.183%6.0%2026-10-15 18:50
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.21%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +16.04%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.198%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +10.25%E +1.52%K +1.78%G +0.183%6.0%2026-10-15 18:50
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.33%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000%13.90I 7.19%NM 6.83%EV +15.22%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.179%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.84%EV -13.11%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.52%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +7.76%E +0.597%K +0.646%G +0.050%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-15 18:09
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.64%EV -7.28%E -5.92%K -31.67%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:10
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -6.90%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-15 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -6.90%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-15 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -11.81%E -10.09%K -69.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV +2.08%E +0.333%K +0.396%G +0.008%9.5%2026-10-15 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -11.81%E -10.09%K -69.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV +2.08%E +0.333%K +0.396%G +0.008%9.5%2026-10-15 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -11.81%E -10.09%K -69.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV +2.08%E +0.333%K +0.396%G +0.008%9.5%2026-10-15 18:50
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.63%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.33%EV +2.90%E +0.460%K +0.547%G +0.016%3.6%2026-10-15 18:14
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.96%EV -7.28%E -5.92%K -31.67%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:10
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:08
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -7.28%E -5.92%K -31.67%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 18:10
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 18:10
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 18:10
picklebet_au🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -4.68%E -0.407%K -0.445%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.99%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.21%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.86%EV -4.68%E -0.407%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -8.54%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-15 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.53%E -5.27%K -27.21%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 18:10
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 18:55
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.73%EV -6.53%E -5.27%K -27.21%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -8.79%E -7.27%K -41.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -11.05%E -9.37%K -61.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-15 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.57%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.56%G +0.000%10.85I 9.22%NM 8.80%EV -10.07%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.63%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.23%EV -4.27%E -3.36%K -15.81%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.85%EV -10.48%E -0.970%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 18:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.23%EV -4.27%E -3.36%K -15.81%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.85%EV -10.48%E -0.970%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.38%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -12.97%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:50
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.76%E -2.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 18:35
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -8.54%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 18:33
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.81%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.32%EV -21.26%E -2.24%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.87%EV -14.25%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-15 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.56%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.67%EV -25.40%E -2.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.77%EV -19.97%E -4.08%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-15 18:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52%0.6%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.3%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.3%2026-10-15 18:55