语言:简体中文
SC Freiburg v FK Jablonec
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SC Freiburg (主队)
预测 75.38%1.33公平赔率
EV -2.76%
优势 -2.14%
Kelly -9.52%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.29
博彩公司预测分布
72.56%75.32%75.43%79.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.231.231.2985.47%81.29%80.97%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
FK Jablonec (客队)
预测 8.29%12.06公平赔率
EV +16.04%
优势 +1.15%
Kelly +1.23%
增长率 +0.198%
假设最高赔率为 14.00
博彩公司预测分布
6.74%8.30%8.36%9.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0011.5912.0014.0011.11%8.63%8.33%7.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 16.33%6.12公平赔率
EV +10.25%
优势 +1.52%
Kelly +1.78%
增长率 +0.183%
假设最高赔率为 6.75
博彩公司预测分布
13.98%16.38%16.20%18.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.905.725.756.7520.41%17.49%17.41%14.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SC Freiburg (主队)：75.38%；FK Jablonec (客队)：8.29%；平局：16.33%。 对于“FK Jablonec (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.06。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为14.00，对应+16.04%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +16.04%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.198% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +10.25%E +1.52%K +1.78%G +0.183% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +16.04%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.198% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +10.25%E +1.52%K +1.78%G +0.183% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.33%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 13.90I 7.19%NM 6.83%EV +15.22%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.179% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.84%EV -13.11%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.52%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV +7.76%E +0.597%K +0.646%G +0.050% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-15 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.64%EV -7.28%E -5.92%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -6.90%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-15 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -6.90%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-15 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -11.81%E -10.09%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV +2.08%E +0.333%K +0.396%G +0.008% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -11.81%E -10.09%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV +2.08%E +0.333%K +0.396%G +0.008% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -11.81%E -10.09%K -69.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +3.61%E +0.289%K +0.314%G +0.011% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV +2.08%E +0.333%K +0.396%G +0.008% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.63%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.33%EV +2.90%E +0.460%K +0.547%G +0.016% | 3.6% | 2026-10-15 18:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.96%EV -7.28%E -5.92%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -7.28%E -5.92%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -0.533%E -0.044%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -4.68%E -0.407%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.99%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.86%EV -4.68%E -0.407%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -8.54%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.53%E -5.27%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.78%E -4.62%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.73%EV -6.53%E -5.27%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -8.79%E -7.27%K -41.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -11.05%E -9.37%K -61.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -8.82%E -0.802%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.57%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 10.85I 9.22%NM 8.80%EV -10.07%E -0.928%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.63%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.23%EV -4.27%E -3.36%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.85%EV -10.48%E -0.970%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-15 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.23%EV -4.27%E -3.36%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.85%EV -10.48%E -0.970%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.38%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -12.97%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.76%E -2.14%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-15 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -5.02%E -3.99%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -8.54%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -2.00%E -0.334%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-15 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -17.11%E -1.71%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-15 18:33 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.81%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.32%EV -21.26%E -2.24%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.87%EV -14.25%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-15 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.56%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.67%EV -25.40%E -2.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.77%EV -19.97%E -4.08%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-15 18:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52% | 0.6% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 1.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 1.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |