赔率学院

Fiorentina v Crystal Palace

开赛时间: 2026-04-16 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Fiorentina 2–1 Crystal Palace

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Fiorentina (主队)

预测 27.97%3.58公平赔率
EV -0.702%
优势 -0.198%
Kelly -0.275%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.55

博彩公司预测分布
27.24%28.10%28.00%30.78%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.003.333.303.5533.33%30.04%30.30%28.17%MIN均值中位数MAX

Crystal Palace (客队)

预测 44.60%2.24公平赔率
EV -1.88%
优势 -0.853%
Kelly -1.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
43.40%44.65%44.53%45.65%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.59%47.62%45.45%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 27.43%3.65公平赔率
EV +2.85%
优势 +0.760%
Kelly +1.04%
增长率 +0.030%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.54%27.25%27.47%28.83%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.153.453.403.7531.75%29.01%29.41%26.67%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.92%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.54%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV +2.85%E +0.760%K +1.04%G +0.030%4.4%2026-04-16 18:55
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.92%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.54%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV +2.85%E +0.760%K +1.04%G +0.030%4.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -2.10%E -0.600%K -0.840%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.78%EV -0.988%E -0.274%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 18:45
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 18:15
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 18:25
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:55
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:55
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -16.09%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 18:55
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.702%E -0.198%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -2.36%E -0.663%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 18:35
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.702%E -0.198%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -2.36%E -0.663%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 18:35
Marathon Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -2.63%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 18:55
Suprabets3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.38%EV -6.78%E -3.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -2.63%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 18:37
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.42%EV -2.77%E -1.27%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.46%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 18:25
1xBet3.41I 29.33%NM 27.81%EV -4.62%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.16%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.02%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 18:55
ReBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -3.22%E -0.931%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 18:50
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:35
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 18:25
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -1.88%E -0.853%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 18:30
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 18:51
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 18:15
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 18:50
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.72%EV -7.67%E -3.71%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 18:50
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -9.01%E -4.42%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 18:46
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.29%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.80%E -5.40%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -2.10%E -0.600%K -0.840%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -1.88%E -0.853%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV -8.12%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 18:50
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.80%E -5.40%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.12%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-16 18:55
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.56%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 18:45
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 18:18
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 18:50
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 18:55
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 18:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 18:50
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 18:40
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -7.23%E -3.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 18:45
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -7.23%E -3.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 18:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-04-16 18:55