L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Fiorentina v Crystal Palace
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fiorentina (Local)
Prévision 27.97%3.58cote équitable
EV -0.702%
Avantage -0.198%
Kelly -0.275%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.24%28.10%28.00%30.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.303.5533.33%30.04%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Crystal Palace (Visiteur)
Prévision 44.60%2.24cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.853%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.40%44.65%44.53%45.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.59%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.43%3.65cote équitable
EV +2.85%
Avantage +0.760%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.030%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.54%27.25%27.47%28.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.453.403.7531.75%29.01%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.92%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.54%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV +2.85%E +0.760%K +1.04%G +0.030% | 4.4% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.92%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.54%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV +2.85%E +0.760%K +1.04%G +0.030% | 4.4% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -2.10%E -0.600%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.78%EV -0.988%E -0.274%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -16.09%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.702%E -0.198%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -2.36%E -0.663%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.702%E -0.198%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -2.36%E -0.663%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -2.63%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Suprabets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.38%EV -6.78%E -3.25%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -2.63%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 18:37 |
| Coolbet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.42%EV -2.77%E -1.27%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.46%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| 1xBet | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.81%EV -4.62%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.16%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.02%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| ReBet | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -3.22%E -0.931%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| Everygame | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| DraftKings | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -1.88%E -0.853%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 18:51 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.72%EV -7.67%E -3.71%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| Bovada | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -9.01%E -4.42%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 18:46 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.29%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.80%E -5.40%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -2.10%E -0.600%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -1.88%E -0.853%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV -8.12%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| Fliff | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.80%E -5.40%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.12%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.56%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 18:18 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -7.23%E -3.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -7.23%E -3.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.4% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.4% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |