Die Schule der Quoten

Fiorentina v Crystal Palace

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-16 19:00 UTC

Endstand: Fiorentina 2–1 Crystal Palace

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

40 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Fiorentina (Heim)

Prognose 27.97%3.58faire Quote
EV -0.702%
Vorteil -0.198%
Kelly -0.275%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.24%28.10%28.00%30.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.333.303.5533.33%30.04%30.30%28.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Crystal Palace (Auswärts)

Prognose 44.60%2.24faire Quote
EV -1.88%
Vorteil -0.853%
Kelly -1.56%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
43.40%44.65%44.53%45.65%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.59%47.62%45.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.43%3.65faire Quote
EV +2.85%
Vorteil +0.760%
Kelly +1.04%
Wachstum +0.030%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.54%27.25%27.47%28.83%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.153.453.403.7531.75%29.01%29.41%26.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (40 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.92%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.54%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV +2.85%E +0.760%K +1.04%G +0.030%4.4%2026-04-16 18:55
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.92%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.54%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV +2.85%E +0.760%K +1.04%G +0.030%4.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -2.10%E -0.600%K -0.840%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.78%EV -0.988%E -0.274%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 18:45
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 18:15
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 18:25
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:55
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:55
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -16.09%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 18:55
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.702%E -0.198%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -2.36%E -0.663%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 18:35
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.702%E -0.198%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -2.36%E -0.663%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 18:35
Marathon Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -2.63%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 18:55
Suprabets3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.38%EV -6.78%E -3.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -2.63%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 18:37
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.42%EV -2.77%E -1.27%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.46%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 18:25
1xBet3.41I 29.33%NM 27.81%EV -4.62%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.16%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.02%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 18:55
ReBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -3.22%E -0.931%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 18:50
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:35
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 18:25
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -1.88%E -0.853%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 18:30
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 18:51
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 18:15
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 18:50
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.72%EV -7.67%E -3.71%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 18:50
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -9.01%E -4.42%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 18:46
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.29%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.80%E -5.40%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -2.10%E -0.600%K -0.840%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -1.88%E -0.853%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV -8.12%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 18:50
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.80%E -5.40%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.12%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-16 18:55
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.56%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 18:45
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 18:18
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 18:50
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 18:55
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 18:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 18:50
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 18:40
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -7.23%E -3.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 18:45
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -7.23%E -3.48%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 18:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-04-16 18:55