La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Fiorentina v Crystal Palace
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fiorentina (Casa)
Previsione 27.97%3.58quota equa
EV -0.702%
Vantaggio -0.198%
Kelly -0.275%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.24%28.10%28.00%30.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.333.303.5533.33%30.04%30.30%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Crystal Palace (Trasferta)
Previsione 44.60%2.24quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -0.853%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.40%44.65%44.53%45.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.59%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.43%3.65quota equa
EV +2.85%
Vantaggio +0.760%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescita +0.030%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.54%27.25%27.47%28.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.453.403.7531.75%29.01%29.41%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.92%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.54%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV +2.85%E +0.760%K +1.04%G +0.030% | 4.4% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.92%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.54%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV +2.85%E +0.760%K +1.04%G +0.030% | 4.4% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -2.10%E -0.600%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.78%EV -0.988%E -0.274%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -16.09%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.702%E -0.198%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -2.36%E -0.663%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.702%E -0.198%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%EV -5.44%E -2.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -2.36%E -0.663%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -2.63%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Suprabets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.38%EV -6.78%E -3.25%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -2.63%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 18:37 |
| Coolbet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.42%EV -2.77%E -1.27%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.46%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| 1xBet | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.81%EV -4.62%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.16%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.02%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| ReBet | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -3.22%E -0.931%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| Everygame | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| DraftKings | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -1.88%E -0.853%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 18:51 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.11%E -1.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.72%EV -7.67%E -3.71%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| Bovada | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -9.01%E -4.42%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 18:46 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.29%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.80%E -5.40%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -6.75%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -2.10%E -0.600%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -1.88%E -0.853%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV -8.12%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| Fliff | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.80%E -5.40%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.12%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.56%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.34%E -3.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 18:18 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.18%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.49%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -7.23%E -3.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -7.23%E -3.48%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.4% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.4% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |