A Escola das OddsPortuguês
AZ Alkmaar v FC Noah
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
AZ Alkmaar (Local)
Previsão 74.69%1.34odd justa
EV -3.64%
Vantagem -2.83%
Kelly -12.57%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.93%74.70%74.69%76.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.181.251.251.2984.75%80.17%80.00%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
FC Noah (Visitante)
Previsão 9.35%10.69odd justa
EV +7.58%
Vantagem +0.659%
Kelly +0.722%
Crescimento +0.055%
pressupondo odds máximas de 11.50
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.31%9.35%9.42%10.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
9.0010.0610.0011.5011.11%9.94%10.00%8.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 15.95%6.27odd justa
EV +4.32%
Vantagem +0.661%
Kelly +0.780%
Crescimento +0.034%
pressupondo odds máximas de 6.54
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.47%15.95%15.89%17.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.505.875.906.5418.18%17.05%16.95%15.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.41%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.31%EV +7.58%E +0.659%K +0.722%G +0.055% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -0.303%E -0.049%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 11.27I 8.87%NM 8.45%EV +5.43%E +0.481%K +0.528%G +0.029% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.72%EV +3.21%E +0.496%K +0.586%G +0.019% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -0.303%E -0.049%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Unibet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.99%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.45%EV -2.70%E -0.442%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 16:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -9.62%E -7.95%K -45.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -9.62%E -7.95%K -45.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.53%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 19:48 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.89%E -0.998%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.89%E -0.998%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 10.15I 9.85%NM 9.40%EV -5.05%E -0.498%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV -1.90%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 18:11 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 10.15I 9.85%NM 9.40%EV -5.05%E -0.498%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV -1.90%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.36%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.57%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.07%EV +1.29%E +0.203%K +0.241%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 17:50 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -3.64%E -2.83%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.62%E -7.95%K -45.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.26%EV -11.86%E -10.05%K -65.89%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -10.67%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.16%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -8.79%E -0.902%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.52%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.40%EV -8.79%E -0.902%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -9.08%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.30%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.52%EV -10.20%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.18%EV -9.87%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:41 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -13.47%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -13.47%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -13.94%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.89%E -0.998%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 19:41 |
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.12%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.40%EV -14.87%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.47%EV +4.32%E +0.661%K +0.780%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.81%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 16:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -15.81%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.37%E -8.64%K -51.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -15.81%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (3)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |