مدرسة الاحتمالات

AZ Alkmaar v FC Noah

البداية: 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

38 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (المضيف)

التنبؤ 74.69%1.34السعر العادل
EV -3.64%
الأفضلية -2.83%
Kelly -12.57%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.93%74.70%74.69%76.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.181.251.251.2984.75%80.17%80.00%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Noah (الضيف)

التنبؤ 9.35%10.69السعر العادل
EV +7.58%
الأفضلية +0.659%
Kelly +0.722%
النمو +0.055%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.31%9.35%9.42%10.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
9.0010.0610.0011.5011.11%9.94%10.00%8.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 15.95%6.27السعر العادل
EV +4.32%
الأفضلية +0.661%
Kelly +0.780%
النمو +0.034%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.47%15.95%15.89%17.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.505.875.906.5418.18%17.05%16.95%15.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (38 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.41%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.31%EV +7.58%E +0.659%K +0.722%G +0.055%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -0.303%E -0.049%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 19:44
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000%11.27I 8.87%NM 8.45%EV +5.43%E +0.481%K +0.528%G +0.029%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.72%EV +3.21%E +0.496%K +0.586%G +0.019%5.0%2026-02-26 19:49
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -0.303%E -0.049%K -0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 19:34
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 19:30
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.99%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.45%EV -2.70%E -0.442%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 19:45
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 16:35
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -9.62%E -7.95%K -45.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:45
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -9.62%E -7.95%K -45.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:44
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.53%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 19:55
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 19:48
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.89%E -0.998%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:35
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.89%E -0.998%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:35
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000%10.15I 9.85%NM 9.40%EV -5.05%E -0.498%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV -1.90%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 18:11
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000%10.15I 9.85%NM 9.40%EV -5.05%E -0.498%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV -1.90%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 18:10
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.36%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.57%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.07%EV +1.29%E +0.203%K +0.241%G +0.003%4.5%2026-02-26 17:50
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 19:49
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -3.64%E -2.83%K -12.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 19:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:35
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 19:35
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.62%E -7.95%K -45.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 19:45
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 75.26%EV -11.86%E -10.05%K -65.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -10.67%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-26 19:44
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.16%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -8.79%E -0.902%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:35
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.52%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.33%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.40%EV -8.79%E -0.902%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -9.08%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 74.30%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.33%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.52%EV -10.20%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.18%EV -9.87%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 19:54
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:49
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:41
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:40
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -13.47%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -13.47%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:49
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -13.94%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.89%E -0.998%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 19:41
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.12%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.40%EV -14.87%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.47%EV +4.32%E +0.661%K +0.780%G +0.034%5.6%2026-02-26 19:49
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.81%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 16:10
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -15.81%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 19:55
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.37%E -8.64%K -51.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -15.81%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-26 19:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (3)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%0.5%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%0.5%2026-02-26 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%0.5%2026-02-26 19:55