Die Schule der Quoten

AZ Alkmaar v FC Noah

Spielbeginn: 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

38 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Heim)

Prognose 74.69%1.34faire Quote
EV -3.64%
Vorteil -2.83%
Kelly -12.57%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.93%74.70%74.69%76.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.181.251.251.2984.75%80.17%80.00%77.52%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

FC Noah (Auswärts)

Prognose 9.35%10.69faire Quote
EV +7.58%
Vorteil +0.659%
Kelly +0.722%
Wachstum +0.055%

bei einer Höchstquote von 11.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.31%9.35%9.42%10.40%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
9.0010.0610.0011.5011.11%9.94%10.00%8.70%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 15.95%6.27faire Quote
EV +4.32%
Vorteil +0.661%
Kelly +0.780%
Wachstum +0.034%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.54

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.47%15.95%15.89%17.20%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.505.875.906.5418.18%17.05%16.95%15.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (38 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.41%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.31%EV +7.58%E +0.659%K +0.722%G +0.055%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -0.303%E -0.049%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 19:44
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000%11.27I 8.87%NM 8.45%EV +5.43%E +0.481%K +0.528%G +0.029%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.72%EV +3.21%E +0.496%K +0.586%G +0.019%5.0%2026-02-26 19:49
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -0.303%E -0.049%K -0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 19:34
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 19:30
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.99%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.45%EV -2.70%E -0.442%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 19:45
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 16:35
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -9.62%E -7.95%K -45.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:45
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -9.62%E -7.95%K -45.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:44
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.53%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 19:55
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 19:48
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.89%E -0.998%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:35
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.89%E -0.998%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:35
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000%10.15I 9.85%NM 9.40%EV -5.05%E -0.498%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV -1.90%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 18:11
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000%10.15I 9.85%NM 9.40%EV -5.05%E -0.498%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV -1.90%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 18:10
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.36%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.57%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.07%EV +1.29%E +0.203%K +0.241%G +0.003%4.5%2026-02-26 17:50
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 19:49
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -3.64%E -2.83%K -12.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 19:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:35
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 19:35
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.62%E -7.95%K -45.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 19:45
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 75.26%EV -11.86%E -10.05%K -65.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -10.67%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-26 19:44
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.16%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -8.79%E -0.902%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:35
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.52%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.33%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.40%EV -8.79%E -0.902%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -9.08%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 74.30%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.33%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.52%EV -10.20%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.18%EV -9.87%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 19:54
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:49
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:41
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:40
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -13.47%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -13.47%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:49
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -13.94%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.89%E -0.998%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 19:41
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.12%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.40%EV -14.87%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.47%EV +4.32%E +0.661%K +0.780%G +0.034%5.6%2026-02-26 19:49
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.81%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 16:10
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -15.81%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 19:55
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.37%E -8.64%K -51.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -15.81%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-26 19:44
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%0.5%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%0.5%2026-02-26 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%0.5%2026-02-26 19:55