L’École des cotesFrançais
AZ Alkmaar v FC Noah
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AZ Alkmaar (Local)
Prévision 74.69%1.34cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -2.83%
Kelly -12.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.93%74.70%74.69%76.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.251.251.2984.75%80.17%80.00%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Noah (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.35%10.69cote équitable
EV +7.58%
Avantage +0.659%
Kelly +0.722%
Croissance +0.055%
avec la cote maximale 11.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.31%9.35%9.42%10.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0010.0610.0011.5011.11%9.94%10.00%8.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 15.95%6.27cote équitable
EV +4.32%
Avantage +0.661%
Kelly +0.780%
Croissance +0.034%
avec la cote maximale 6.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.47%15.95%15.89%17.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.505.875.906.5418.18%17.05%16.95%15.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.41%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.31%EV +7.58%E +0.659%K +0.722%G +0.055% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -0.303%E -0.049%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 11.27I 8.87%NM 8.45%EV +5.43%E +0.481%K +0.528%G +0.029% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.72%EV +3.21%E +0.496%K +0.586%G +0.019% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -0.303%E -0.049%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Unibet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.99%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.45%EV -2.70%E -0.442%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 16:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -9.62%E -7.95%K -45.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -9.62%E -7.95%K -45.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +2.90%E +0.264%K +0.290%G +0.008% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.53%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 19:48 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.89%E -0.998%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.78%E -0.169%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.89%E -0.998%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 10.15I 9.85%NM 9.40%EV -5.05%E -0.498%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV -1.90%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 18:11 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 10.15I 9.85%NM 9.40%EV -5.05%E -0.498%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV -1.90%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.36%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.57%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.07%EV +1.29%E +0.203%K +0.241%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 17:50 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -3.64%E -2.83%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.62%E -7.95%K -45.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.26%EV -11.86%E -10.05%K -65.89%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -6.45%E -0.645%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -10.67%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.16%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -8.79%E -0.902%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.52%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.40%EV -8.79%E -0.902%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -9.08%E -1.59%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.30%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.52%EV -10.20%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.18%EV -9.87%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:41 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.13%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -13.47%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -13.47%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.05%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -13.94%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.89%E -0.998%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 19:41 |
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.12%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.40%EV -14.87%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.47%EV +4.32%E +0.661%K +0.780%G +0.034% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.81%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -8.28%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 16:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.63%E -5.31%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -15.81%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.29%E -0.715%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.37%E -8.64%K -51.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -15.81%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.27%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |