Language:English
NK Celje v KF Egnatia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
NK Celje (Local)
Prediction 58.77%1.70fair odd
EV +0.489%
Edge +0.286%
Kelly +0.688%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.50%58.62%58.72%61.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.561.551.7169.93%64.14%64.52%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
KF Egnatia (Visit)
Prediction 17.26%5.79fair odd
EV +4.44%
Edge +0.734%
Kelly +0.880%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 6.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.53%17.37%17.23%20.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.615.275.356.0521.69%18.98%18.69%16.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.97%4.17fair odd
EV +3.08%
Edge +0.716%
Kelly +0.933%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.69%24.01%24.05%25.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.013.994.3027.40%24.92%25.09%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NK Celje (Local): 58.77%; KF Egnatia (Visit): 17.26%; Draw: 23.97%. For KF Egnatia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.79. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.53%EV +4.44%E +0.734%K +0.880%G +0.039% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -12.50%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.53%EV +4.44%E +0.734%K +0.880%G +0.039% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -12.50%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -1.60%E -0.281%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -9.50%E -6.17%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -9.50%E -6.17%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.30%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -8.43%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.16%EV -11.26%E -7.46%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -12.44%E -8.35%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -8.51%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 9.8% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -12.44%E -8.35%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -8.51%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 9.8% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -7.15%E -4.53%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -15.97%E -11.16%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -11.96%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -1.72%E -0.419%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -15.38%E -10.68%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -14.55%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.01%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -15.41%E -3.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -16.27%E -3.36%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -18.00%E -3.79%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.50%EV +0.489%E +0.286%K +0.688%G +0.003% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.59%EV -20.42%E -4.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.91%EV -4.83%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
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