L’École des cotes

NK Celje v KF Egnatia

2026-07-28 18:15 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

NK Celje (Local)

Prévision 66.48%1.50cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -2.97%
Kelly -9.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.57%66.56%66.34%69.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.371.361.4477.52%72.95%73.53%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KF Egnatia (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.39%7.47cote équitable
EV +0.427%
Avantage +0.057%
Kelly +0.066%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.17%13.37%13.32%14.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.407.047.007.5015.63%14.20%14.29%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.13%4.97cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.275%
Kelly -0.345%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.74%20.07%20.34%21.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.654.704.9023.81%21.53%21.28%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.26%E -7.60%K -29.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.427%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.36%E -0.700%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.26%E -7.60%K -29.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.427%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.36%E -0.700%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.26%E -7.60%K -29.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.427%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.36%E -0.700%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:35
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.26%E -7.60%K -29.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.427%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.36%E -0.700%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:35
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.26%E -7.60%K -29.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.427%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.36%E -0.700%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:39
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.26%E -7.60%K -29.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.427%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.36%E -0.700%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:40
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.26%E -7.60%K -29.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.427%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.36%E -0.700%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:39
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.26%E -7.60%K -29.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.427%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.36%E -0.700%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:39
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.26%E -7.60%K -29.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.427%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.36%E -0.700%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:39
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.26%E -7.60%K -29.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.427%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.36%E -0.700%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:35
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -11.59%E -8.71%K -35.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +0.427%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -1.35%E -0.275%K -0.345%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 11:10
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -11.59%E -8.71%K -35.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +0.427%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -4.37%E -0.919%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 02:55
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -11.59%E -8.71%K -35.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +0.427%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -4.37%E -0.919%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 02:55
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.27%E -4.45%K -15.29%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -0.912%E -0.123%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.41%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 03:09
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.27%E -4.45%K -15.29%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -0.912%E -0.123%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.41%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 03:10
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -2.92%E -0.403%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -5.37%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 11:10
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.48%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -2.92%E -0.403%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.40%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 10:30
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.20%EV -7.60%E -5.47%K -19.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -6.27%E -0.895%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.36%E -0.700%K -0.884%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 18:20
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -6.27%E -0.895%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.40%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 13:00
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.26%E -5.99%K -21.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -6.27%E -0.895%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -9.40%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 11:04
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -6.27%E -0.895%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -5.37%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 11:10
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -6.27%E -0.895%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -5.37%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 10:29
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.27%EV -14.25%E -11.04%K -49.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -6.27%E -0.895%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.15%EV -7.39%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-26 03:00
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.63%EV -6.27%E -4.45%K -15.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.92%EV -9.62%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.45%EV -2.75%E -0.570%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 12:05
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -10.28%E -1.54%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.36%E -0.700%K -0.884%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 11:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.96%E -1.99%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.40%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 11:05
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.96%E -1.99%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.40%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.96%E -1.99%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.40%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 11:05
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.96%E -1.99%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.44%E -3.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 04:05
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.96%E -1.99%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -12.82%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -11.59%E -8.71%K -35.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.96%E -1.99%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -7.39%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-25 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.59%E -8.71%K -35.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.96%E -1.99%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -9.40%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 15:35
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.59%E -8.71%K -35.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.96%E -1.99%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -9.40%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 11:15
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.84%EV -4.94%E -3.45%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.37%EV -13.63%E -2.11%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.79%EV -10.20%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:10
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.84%EV -4.94%E -3.45%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.37%EV -13.63%E -2.11%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.79%EV -10.20%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:10
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.44%EV -4.27%E -2.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV -14.30%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -4.37%E -0.919%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.97%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%5.1%2026-07-25 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.97%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%5.1%2026-07-25 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.97%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%5.1%2026-07-25 18:20