Langue:Français
NK Celje v KF Egnatia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
NK Celje (Local)
Prévision 58.77%1.70cote équitable
EV +0.489%
Avantage +0.286%
Kelly +0.688%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.50%58.62%58.72%61.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.561.551.7169.93%64.14%64.52%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
KF Egnatia (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.26%5.79cote équitable
EV +4.44%
Avantage +0.734%
Kelly +0.880%
Croissance +0.039%
avec la cote maximale 6.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.53%17.37%17.23%20.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.615.275.356.0521.69%18.98%18.69%16.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.97%4.17cote équitable
EV +3.08%
Avantage +0.716%
Kelly +0.933%
Croissance +0.029%
avec la cote maximale 4.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.69%24.01%24.05%25.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.654.013.994.3027.40%24.92%25.09%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : NK Celje (Local) : 58.77% ; KF Egnatia (Visiteur) : 17.26% ; Match nul : 23.97%. Pour KF Egnatia (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.79. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.05, soit une espérance positive de +4.44%.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.53%EV +4.44%E +0.734%K +0.880%G +0.039% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -12.50%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.53%EV +4.44%E +0.734%K +0.880%G +0.039% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -12.50%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -1.60%E -0.281%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -9.50%E -6.17%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -9.50%E -6.17%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.30%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -8.43%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.16%EV -11.26%E -7.46%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -12.44%E -8.35%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -8.51%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 9.8% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -12.44%E -8.35%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -8.51%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 9.8% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -7.15%E -4.53%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -15.97%E -11.16%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -11.96%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -1.72%E -0.419%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -15.38%E -10.68%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -14.55%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.01%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -15.41%E -3.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -16.27%E -3.36%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -18.00%E -3.79%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.50%EV +0.489%E +0.286%K +0.688%G +0.003% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.59%EV -20.42%E -4.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.91%EV -4.83%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |