Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

NK Celje v KF Egnatia

Inizio: 2026-07-28 18:15 UTC

Finale: NK Celje 2–2 KF Egnatia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

NK Celje (Casa)

Previsione 58.77%1.70quota equa
EV +0.489%
Vantaggio +0.286%
Kelly +0.688%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.50%58.62%58.72%61.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.561.551.7169.93%64.14%64.52%58.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

KF Egnatia (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.26%5.79quota equa
EV +4.44%
Vantaggio +0.734%
Kelly +0.880%
Crescita +0.039%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.53%17.37%17.23%20.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.615.275.356.0521.69%18.98%18.69%16.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.97%4.17quota equa
EV +3.08%
Vantaggio +0.716%
Kelly +0.933%
Crescita +0.029%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.69%24.01%24.05%25.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.654.013.994.3027.40%24.92%25.09%23.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: NK Celje (Casa): 58.77%; KF Egnatia (Trasferta): 17.26%; Pareggio: 23.97%. Per KF Egnatia (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.79. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.05, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.44%.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.53%EV +4.44%E +0.734%K +0.880%G +0.039%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -12.50%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.53%EV +4.44%E +0.734%K +0.880%G +0.039%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -12.50%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -1.60%E -0.281%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 18:04
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029%6.0%2026-07-28 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029%6.0%2026-07-28 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029%6.0%2026-07-28 18:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029%6.0%2026-07-28 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029%6.0%2026-07-28 18:09
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -9.50%E -6.17%K -17.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029%6.4%2026-07-28 18:10
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -9.50%E -6.17%K -17.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029%6.4%2026-07-28 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 18:09
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-28 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.30%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -8.43%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011%7.4%2026-07-28 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011%7.4%2026-07-28 18:09
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.16%EV -11.26%E -7.46%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011%8.3%2026-07-28 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -12.44%E -8.35%K -25.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -8.51%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001%9.8%2026-07-28 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -12.44%E -8.35%K -25.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -8.51%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001%9.8%2026-07-28 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -7.15%E -4.53%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011%5.9%2026-07-28 18:09
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001%6.6%2026-07-28 18:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -15.97%E -11.16%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -11.96%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-28 18:10
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -1.72%E -0.419%K -0.554%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-28 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-28 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-28 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-28 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-28 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -15.38%E -10.68%K -34.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-28 17:59
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -14.55%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 17:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.01%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -15.41%E -3.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-28 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -16.27%E -3.36%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 18:09
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001%6.4%2026-07-28 18:05
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-28 18:05
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -18.00%E -3.79%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 18:09
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.50%EV +0.489%E +0.286%K +0.688%G +0.003%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.59%EV -20.42%E -4.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.91%EV -4.83%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-07-28 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-07-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-07-28 18:10