La scuola delle quote

NK Celje v KF Egnatia

2026-07-28 18:15 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

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36 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

NK Celje (Casa)

Previsione 66.44%1.51quota equa
EV -4.33%
Vantaggio -3.01%
Kelly -9.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.57%66.46%66.34%68.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.371.361.4477.52%72.90%73.53%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

KF Egnatia (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.44%7.44quota equa
EV +0.813%
Vantaggio +0.108%
Kelly +0.125%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.17%13.47%13.32%14.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.407.047.007.5015.63%14.20%14.29%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.12%4.97quota equa
EV -1.40%
Vantaggio -0.286%
Kelly -0.360%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.76%20.07%20.34%21.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.654.704.9023.81%21.52%21.28%20.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.31%E -7.64%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.813%E +0.108%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.42%E -0.712%K -0.899%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.31%E -7.64%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.813%E +0.108%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.42%E -0.712%K -0.899%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.31%E -7.64%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.813%E +0.108%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.42%E -0.712%K -0.899%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:35
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.31%E -7.64%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.813%E +0.108%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.42%E -0.712%K -0.899%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:35
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.31%E -7.64%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.813%E +0.108%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.42%E -0.712%K -0.899%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:39
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.31%E -7.64%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.813%E +0.108%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.42%E -0.712%K -0.899%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:40
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.31%E -7.64%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.813%E +0.108%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.42%E -0.712%K -0.899%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:39
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.31%E -7.64%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.813%E +0.108%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.42%E -0.712%K -0.899%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:39
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.31%E -7.64%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.813%E +0.108%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.42%E -0.712%K -0.899%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:39
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -10.31%E -7.64%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV +0.813%E +0.108%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.42%E -0.712%K -0.899%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:35
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -11.64%E -8.75%K -35.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +0.813%E +0.108%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -4.42%E -0.931%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 02:55
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -11.64%E -8.75%K -35.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +0.813%E +0.108%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -4.42%E -0.931%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 02:55
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.32%E -4.49%K -15.43%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -0.532%E -0.072%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.46%E -2.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 03:09
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.32%E -4.49%K -15.43%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -0.532%E -0.072%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.46%E -2.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 03:10
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -2.55%E -0.351%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -5.43%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 11:10
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.48%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -2.55%E -0.351%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 10:30
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.20%EV -7.65%E -5.51%K -19.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.91%E -0.844%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.42%E -0.712%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 18:20
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.91%E -0.844%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.31%E -7.64%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.91%E -0.844%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -1.40%E -0.286%K -0.360%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 18:15
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.32%E -6.03%K -21.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -5.91%E -0.844%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 11:04
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -9.65%E -7.09%K -26.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -5.91%E -0.844%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -5.43%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 11:10
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -9.65%E -7.09%K -26.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -5.91%E -0.844%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -5.43%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -11.64%E -8.75%K -35.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -5.91%E -0.844%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 18:15
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.27%EV -14.30%E -11.08%K -49.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -5.91%E -0.844%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.15%EV -7.44%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-26 03:00
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.63%EV -6.32%E -4.49%K -15.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.92%EV -9.27%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.45%EV -2.81%E -0.582%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 12:05
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.47%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -9.94%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.42%E -0.712%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 11:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.63%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 11:05
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.63%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.63%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 11:05
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.63%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 18:15
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.64%EV -10.97%E -8.19%K -32.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.63%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.63%EV -8.45%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 18:15
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.65%E -7.09%K -26.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.63%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -12.87%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 11:30
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.64%E -8.75%K -35.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.63%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -9.45%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 11:15
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.84%EV -5.00%E -3.49%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.37%EV -13.30%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.79%EV -10.26%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:10
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.84%EV -5.00%E -3.49%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.37%EV -13.30%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.79%EV -10.26%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:10
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.44%EV -4.33%E -3.01%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV -13.97%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -4.42%E -0.931%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 17:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.91%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%2.3%2026-07-26 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.91%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%2.3%2026-07-26 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.91%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%2.3%2026-07-26 18:30