Idioma:Español
NK Celje v KF Egnatia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
NK Celje (Local)
Predicción 58.77%1.70momio equitativo
EV +0.489%
Ventaja +0.286%
Kelly +0.688%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.50%58.62%58.72%61.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.561.551.7169.93%64.14%64.52%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
KF Egnatia (Visitante)
Predicción 17.26%5.79momio equitativo
EV +4.44%
Ventaja +0.734%
Kelly +0.880%
Crecimiento +0.039%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.53%17.37%17.23%20.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.615.275.356.0521.69%18.98%18.69%16.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.97%4.17momio equitativo
EV +3.08%
Ventaja +0.716%
Kelly +0.933%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.69%24.01%24.05%25.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.654.013.994.3027.40%24.92%25.09%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: NK Celje (Local): 58.77%; KF Egnatia (Visitante): 17.26%; Empate: 23.97%. Para KF Egnatia (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.79. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.44%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.53%EV +4.44%E +0.734%K +0.880%G +0.039% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -12.50%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.53%EV +4.44%E +0.734%K +0.880%G +0.039% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -12.50%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -1.60%E -0.281%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -9.50%E -6.17%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -9.50%E -6.17%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.30%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -8.43%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.16%EV -11.26%E -7.46%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -12.44%E -8.35%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -8.51%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 9.8% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -12.44%E -8.35%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -8.51%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 9.8% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -7.15%E -4.53%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -15.97%E -11.16%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -11.96%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -1.72%E -0.419%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -15.38%E -10.68%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -14.55%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.01%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -15.41%E -3.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -16.27%E -3.36%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -18.00%E -3.79%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.50%EV +0.489%E +0.286%K +0.688%G +0.003% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.59%EV -20.42%E -4.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.91%EV -4.83%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |