语言:简体中文
NK Celje v KF Egnatia
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
NK Celje (主队)
预测 58.77%1.70公平赔率
EV +0.489%
优势 +0.286%
Kelly +0.688%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 1.71
博彩公司预测分布
55.50%58.62%58.72%61.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.561.551.7169.93%64.14%64.52%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
KF Egnatia (客队)
预测 17.26%5.79公平赔率
EV +4.44%
优势 +0.734%
Kelly +0.880%
增长率 +0.039%
假设最高赔率为 6.05
博彩公司预测分布
15.53%17.37%17.23%20.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.615.275.356.0521.69%18.98%18.69%16.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.97%4.17公平赔率
EV +3.08%
优势 +0.716%
Kelly +0.933%
增长率 +0.029%
假设最高赔率为 4.30
博彩公司预测分布
21.69%24.01%24.05%25.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.654.013.994.3027.40%24.92%25.09%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：NK Celje (主队)：58.77%；KF Egnatia (客队)：17.26%；平局：23.97%。 对于“KF Egnatia (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.79。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.05，对应+4.44%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.53%EV +4.44%E +0.734%K +0.880%G +0.039% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -12.50%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.53%EV +4.44%E +0.734%K +0.880%G +0.039% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -12.50%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -1.60%E -0.281%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -9.50%E -6.17%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -9.50%E -6.17%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV +3.08%E +0.716%K +0.933%G +0.029% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.05%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.30%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -8.43%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.16%EV -11.26%E -7.46%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -6.78%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -12.44%E -8.35%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -8.51%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 9.8% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -12.44%E -8.35%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -8.51%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 9.8% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -7.15%E -4.53%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV +1.88%E +0.442%K +0.578%G +0.011% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.37%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -15.97%E -11.16%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -11.96%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -1.72%E -0.419%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -11.85%E -7.90%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -15.38%E -10.68%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -13.68%E -2.74%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -14.55%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.01%EV -10.09%E -6.59%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -15.41%E -3.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -5.98%E -3.73%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -16.27%E -3.36%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.80%E -2.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +0.680%E +0.162%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -17.14%E -3.57%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -18.00%E -3.79%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.50%EV +0.489%E +0.286%K +0.688%G +0.003% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.59%EV -20.42%E -4.43%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.91%EV -4.83%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |