預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lyon v Sparta Prague

開賽時間: 2026-08-11 19:00 UTC

最終賽果: Lyon 3–0 Sparta Prague

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

37 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lyon (主隊)

預測 69.39%1.44公平賠率
EV -4.24%
優勢 -3.07%
Kelly -11.15%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.38

博彩公司預測分布
66.09%69.02%69.43%71.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.291.341.341.3877.52%74.48%74.63%72.46%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Sparta Prague (客隊)

預測 12.61%7.93公平賠率
EV +0.908%
優勢 +0.113%
Kelly +0.130%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 8.00

博彩公司預測分布
11.65%12.83%12.59%14.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
6.007.337.358.0016.67%13.63%13.61%12.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 17.99%5.56公平賠率
EV +5.26%
優勢 +0.899%
Kelly +1.08%
成長率 +0.057%

假設最高賠率為 5.85

博彩公司預測分布
16.30%18.15%17.98%19.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.755.125.205.8521.05%19.54%19.23%17.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Lyon (主隊):69.39%;Sparta Prague (客隊):12.61%;和局:17.99%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於5.56的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為5.85,對應+5.26%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (37 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.16%EV -7.01%E -5.23%K -20.62%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV -4.14%E -0.544%K -0.627%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.30%EV +5.26%E +0.899%K +1.08%G +0.057%4.9%2026-08-11 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.25%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +0.908%E +0.113%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV -1.04%E -0.189%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-11 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -8.40%E -6.36%K -26.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +0.908%E +0.113%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -1.04%E -0.189%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 18:55
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.16%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -8.55%E -1.18%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.67%EV -2.84%E -0.526%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.37%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.93%EV -7.29%E -0.992%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.70%EV -3.38%E -0.629%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.37%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.93%EV -7.29%E -0.992%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.70%EV -3.38%E -0.629%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 18:45
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.17%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.99%EV -7.29%E -0.992%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.84%EV -3.74%E -0.699%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 18:45
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.84%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.11%EV -0.353%E -0.045%K -0.051%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.05%EV -4.64%E -0.875%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 18:39
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.84%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.11%EV -0.353%E -0.045%K -0.051%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.05%EV -4.64%E -0.875%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -7.71%E -5.79%K -23.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -5.40%E -0.720%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -4.64%E -0.875%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 18:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.62%E -4.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +0.908%E +0.113%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 18:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.62%E -4.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +0.908%E +0.113%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 18:24
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -5.62%E -4.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.40%E -0.720%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.40%E -0.720%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 18:40
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-11 18:55
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -8.40%E -6.36%K -26.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +0.908%E +0.113%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.76%EV -8.40%E -6.36%K -26.25%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.70%EV -8.55%E -1.18%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 18:54
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.45%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.74I 12.92%NM 12.29%EV -2.37%E -0.306%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.26%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.58%EV -8.40%E -6.36%K -26.25%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.76%EV -9.18%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -6.44%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 18:35
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.38%EV -7.01%E -5.23%K -20.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.40%E -0.720%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -8.24%E -1.62%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 18:24
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -5.40%E -0.720%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -10.04%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 18:39
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.01%E -5.23%K -20.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -5.40%E -0.720%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -10.04%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.01%E -5.23%K -20.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -5.40%E -0.720%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -10.04%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 18:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.01%E -5.23%K -20.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -5.40%E -0.720%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -10.04%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 18:24
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.79%E -7.53%K -32.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -10.04%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -10.48%E -8.13%K -36.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -18.01%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -10.04%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-11 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -7.01%E -5.23%K -20.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -11.84%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -8.40%E -6.36%K -26.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -11.84%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-11 18:24
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -8.40%E -6.36%K -26.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -11.84%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-11 18:24
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.62%E -4.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.63%E -2.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.62%E -4.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.63%E -2.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.62%E -4.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.63%E -2.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.33%EV -8.40%E -6.36%K -26.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -13.63%E -2.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-11 18:05
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -7.71%E -5.79%K -23.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -14.53%E -3.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-11 18:39
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -5.62%E -4.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -24.32%E -4.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -14.53%E -3.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.69%EV -10.48%E -8.13%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -14.53%E -3.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-11 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.69%EV -10.48%E -8.13%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -14.53%E -3.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-11 18:24
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%0.5%2026-08-11 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%0.5%2026-08-11 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%0.5%2026-08-11 18:55