StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lyon v Sparta Prague

2026-08-11 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Direkter Vergleich

35 Wettanbieter (8 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lyon (Heim)

Prognose 60.16%1.66faire Quote
EV -3.13%
Vorteil -1.95%
Kelly -5.14%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.95%60.26%60.20%62.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.441.541.551.6169.44%64.86%64.52%62.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Sparta Prague (Auswärts)

Prognose 17.68%5.66faire Quote
EV +1.66%
Vorteil +0.288%
Kelly +0.349%
Wachstum +0.006%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.11%17.59%17.68%18.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.755.255.255.7521.05%19.06%19.05%17.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.16%4.51faire Quote
EV -1.41%
Vorteil -0.316%
Kelly -0.408%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.37%22.15%22.12%23.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.604.064.104.4527.78%24.66%24.39%22.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Lyon (Heim): 60.16%; Sparta Prague (Auswärts): 17.68%; Unentschieden: 22.16%. Für Sparta Prague (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.66. 3 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 5.75 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.66%.

Wettanbieterquoten (35 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV +1.66%E +0.288%K +0.349%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 15:35
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.19%EV -10.96%E -7.40%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +0.773%E +0.136%K +0.164%G +0.001%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.03%EV -10.96%E -7.40%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV +0.773%E +0.136%K +0.164%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 15:35
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.86%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.26%EV -0.288%E -0.051%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.88%EV -1.41%E -0.316%K -0.408%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 13:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.08%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -0.995%E -0.178%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -2.51%E -0.571%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 12:18
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -2.76%E -0.502%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -9.15%E -6.06%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -2.76%E -0.502%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 15:35
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -13.36%E -9.28%K -30.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -2.76%E -0.502%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-05 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 13:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:24
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -6.30%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 10:55
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 15:34
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 08:30
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 13:49
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.70%E -3.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.25%EV -12.16%E -8.33%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -8.07%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.55%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 12:10
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.84%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.84%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.84%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -10.72%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.65%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -10.72%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.65%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 16:15
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 16:03
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -13.37%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -18.02%E -4.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -13.37%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -18.02%E -4.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.05%EV -10.96%E -7.40%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.09%EV -16.02%E -3.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.86%EV -20.24%E -5.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-06 13:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.