StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lyon v Sparta Prague

2026-08-11 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (8 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lyon (Hemma)

Prognos 60.16%1.66rättvist odds
EV -3.13%
Fördel -1.95%
Kelly -5.14%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.61

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.95%60.26%60.20%62.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.441.541.551.6169.44%64.86%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sparta Prague (Borta)

Prognos 17.68%5.66rättvist odds
EV +1.66%
Fördel +0.288%
Kelly +0.349%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.11%17.59%17.68%18.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.755.255.255.7521.05%19.06%19.05%17.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.16%4.51rättvist odds
EV -1.41%
Fördel -0.316%
Kelly -0.408%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.37%22.15%22.12%23.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.604.064.104.4527.78%24.66%24.39%22.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Lyon (Hemma): 60.16%; Sparta Prague (Borta): 17.68%; Oavgjort: 22.16%. För Sparta Prague (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.66. 3 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 5.75, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +1.66%.

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV +1.66%E +0.288%K +0.349%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 15:35
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.19%EV -10.96%E -7.40%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +0.773%E +0.136%K +0.164%G +0.001%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.03%EV -10.96%E -7.40%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV +0.773%E +0.136%K +0.164%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 15:35
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.86%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.26%EV -0.288%E -0.051%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.88%EV -1.41%E -0.316%K -0.408%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 13:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.08%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -0.995%E -0.178%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -2.51%E -0.571%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 12:18
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -2.76%E -0.502%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -9.15%E -6.06%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -2.76%E -0.502%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 15:35
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -13.36%E -9.28%K -30.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -2.76%E -0.502%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-05 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 13:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:24
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -6.30%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 10:55
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 15:34
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 08:30
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 13:49
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.70%E -3.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.25%EV -12.16%E -8.33%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -8.07%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.55%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 12:10
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.84%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.84%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.84%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -10.72%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.65%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -10.72%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.65%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 16:15
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 16:03
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -13.37%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -18.02%E -4.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -13.37%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -18.02%E -4.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.05%EV -10.96%E -7.40%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.09%EV -16.02%E -3.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.86%EV -20.24%E -5.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-06 13:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.