默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lyon v Sparta Prague

2026-08-11 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lyon (主队)

预测 60.16%1.66公平赔率
EV -3.13%
优势 -1.95%
Kelly -5.14%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.61

博彩公司预测分布
57.95%60.26%60.20%62.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.541.551.6169.44%64.86%64.52%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sparta Prague (客队)

预测 17.68%5.66公平赔率
EV +1.66%
优势 +0.288%
Kelly +0.349%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 5.75

博彩公司预测分布
16.11%17.59%17.68%18.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.255.255.7521.05%19.06%19.05%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.16%4.51公平赔率
EV -1.41%
优势 -0.316%
Kelly -0.408%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.45

博彩公司预测分布
21.37%22.15%22.12%23.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.064.104.4527.78%24.66%24.39%22.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Lyon (主队):60.16%;Sparta Prague (客队):17.68%;平局:22.16%。 对于“Sparta Prague (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.66。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为5.75,由此产生+1.66%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV +1.66%E +0.288%K +0.349%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 15:35
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.19%EV -10.96%E -7.40%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +0.773%E +0.136%K +0.164%G +0.001%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.03%EV -10.96%E -7.40%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV +0.773%E +0.136%K +0.164%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 15:35
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.86%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.26%EV -0.288%E -0.051%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.88%EV -1.41%E -0.316%K -0.408%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 13:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.08%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -0.995%E -0.178%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -2.51%E -0.571%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 12:18
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -2.76%E -0.502%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -9.15%E -6.06%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -2.76%E -0.502%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 15:35
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -13.36%E -9.28%K -30.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -2.76%E -0.502%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-05 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 13:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:24
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -6.30%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 10:55
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 15:34
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 08:30
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 13:49
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.70%E -3.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.25%EV -12.16%E -8.33%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -8.07%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.55%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 12:10
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.84%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.84%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.84%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -10.72%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.65%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -10.72%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.65%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 16:15
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 16:03
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -13.37%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -18.02%E -4.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -13.37%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -18.02%E -4.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.05%EV -10.96%E -7.40%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.09%EV -16.02%E -3.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.86%EV -20.24%E -5.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-06 13:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。