Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lyon v Sparta Prague

2026-08-11 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lyon (Local)

Prévision 60.16%1.66cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -5.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.95%60.26%60.20%62.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.541.551.6169.44%64.86%64.52%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sparta Prague (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.68%5.66cote équitable
EV +1.66%
Avantage +0.288%
Kelly +0.349%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.11%17.59%17.68%18.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.255.255.7521.05%19.06%19.05%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.16%4.51cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.316%
Kelly -0.408%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.37%22.15%22.12%23.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.064.104.4527.78%24.66%24.39%22.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lyon (Local) : 60.16% ; Sparta Prague (Visiteur) : 17.68% ; Match nul : 22.16%. Pour Sparta Prague (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.66. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.75, pour une espérance positive de +1.66%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV +1.66%E +0.288%K +0.349%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 15:35
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.19%EV -10.96%E -7.40%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +0.773%E +0.136%K +0.164%G +0.001%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.03%EV -10.96%E -7.40%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV +0.773%E +0.136%K +0.164%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 15:35
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.86%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.26%EV -0.288%E -0.051%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.88%EV -1.41%E -0.316%K -0.408%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 13:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.08%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -0.995%E -0.178%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -2.51%E -0.571%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 12:18
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -2.76%E -0.502%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -9.15%E -6.06%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -2.76%E -0.502%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 15:35
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -13.36%E -9.28%K -30.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -2.76%E -0.502%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-05 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 13:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:24
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.53%E -0.839%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -6.30%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 10:55
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 15:34
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 08:30
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 13:49
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -7.18%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.70%E -3.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.25%EV -12.16%E -8.33%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -8.07%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.55%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 12:10
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.84%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.84%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.84%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -13.59%E -3.49%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -10.72%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.65%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -10.72%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.65%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 16:15
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 16:03
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.60%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.81%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -13.37%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -18.02%E -4.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -13.37%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -18.02%E -4.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.05%EV -10.96%E -7.40%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.09%EV -16.02%E -3.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.86%EV -20.24%E -5.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-06 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.