The School of Odds

Dinamo Zagreb v FC Thun

2026-07-28 18:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dinamo Zagreb (Local)

Prediction 67.80%1.47fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -7.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.54%67.95%67.80%69.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.381.4377%73%72%70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Thun (Visit)

Prediction 11.72%8.54fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -0.406%
Kelly -0.462%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.29%11.75%11.72%13.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
7.007.547.508.2514%13%13%12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 20.49%4.88fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.566%
Kelly -0.717%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.41%20.30%20.49%21.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.474.404.7524%22%23%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -3.05%E -2.13%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -17.99%E -2.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -3.71%E -0.790%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 04:21
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.08%E -3.63%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -15.07%E -2.08%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -2.69%E -0.566%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 01:10
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.54%EV -5.76%E -4.14%K -14.77%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 11.96%EV -8.04%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.50%EV -6.17%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 01:40
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.45%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.45%EV -3.35%E -0.406%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -3.71%E -0.790%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 01:20
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -8.62%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -6.79%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 01:09
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.14%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.14%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:50
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.14%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:54
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.14%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:55
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.14%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.14%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:54
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.14%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:55
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.14%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:55
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.14%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:55
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.14%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:55
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.54%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -17.99%E -2.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -13.96%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 02:49
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.00%EV -7.12%E -5.19%K -19.23%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -3.35%E -0.406%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.81%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 01:20
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -7.12%E -5.19%K -19.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.14%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.81%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 05:59
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.04%EV -7.12%E -5.19%K -19.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -17.99%E -2.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -11.91%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.04%EV -7.12%E -5.19%K -19.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -17.99%E -2.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -11.91%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 00:55
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -8.47%E -6.28%K -24.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -6.28%E -0.785%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.81%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 01:20
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -9.83%E -7.39%K -29.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -6.28%E -0.785%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -3.71%E -0.790%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 01:30
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -9.83%E -7.39%K -29.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -6.28%E -0.785%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -3.71%E -0.790%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 01:28
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.94%EV -10.51%E -7.96%K -32.83%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.27%EV -15.65%E -2.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.79%EV -12.93%E -3.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-24 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -11.86%E -9.12%K -39.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -12.14%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -5.76%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 01:35
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -11.86%E -9.12%K -39.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -12.14%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -7.81%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-24 01:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 01:55