语言:简体中文
Dinamo Zagreb v FC Thun
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Dinamo Zagreb (主队)
预测 64.25%1.56公平赔率
EV -3.62%
优势 -2.41%
Kelly -7.24%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
61.01%64.22%64.45%68.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.341.411.421.5074.63%70.81%70.67%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
FC Thun (客队)
预测 15.01%6.66公平赔率
EV +12.55%
优势 +1.67%
Kelly +1.93%
增长率 +0.242%
假设最高赔率为 7.50
博彩公司预测分布
12.21%15.03%14.82%16.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.596.507.5018.18%15.17%15.38%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.74%4.82公平赔率
EV -1.48%
优势 -0.312%
Kelly -0.395%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.75
博彩公司预测分布
19.24%20.74%20.73%22.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.554.554.7525.00%21.97%21.98%21.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Dinamo Zagreb (主队)：64.25%；FC Thun (客队)：15.01%；平局：20.74%。 对于“FC Thun (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.66。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.50，对应+12.55%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -13.90%E -10.37%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -2.52%E -0.536%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -13.90%E -10.37%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -2.52%E -0.536%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +1.29%E +0.191%K +0.225%G +0.003% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.31%EV -1.71%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -7.70%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.31%EV -1.71%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -7.70%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -8.12%E -5.68%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.59%E -0.998%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -9.40%E -6.67%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -9.40%E -6.67%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -11.97%E -8.74%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -6.21%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -6.96%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.87%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.27%EV -7.71%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -9.21%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.59%E -0.998%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.19%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.19%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -12.89%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.01%EV -10.86%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.59%EV -4.18%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.46%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.85%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.46%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.85%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -17.47%E -3.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -17.04%E -4.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.88% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 18:00 |