Langue:Français
Dinamo Zagreb v FC Thun
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Dinamo Zagreb (Local)
Prévision 64.25%1.56cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -2.41%
Kelly -7.24%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.01%64.22%64.45%68.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.341.411.421.5074.63%70.81%70.67%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
FC Thun (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.01%6.66cote équitable
EV +12.55%
Avantage +1.67%
Kelly +1.93%
Croissance +0.242%
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.21%15.03%14.82%16.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.596.507.5018.18%15.17%15.38%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 20.74%4.82cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.312%
Kelly -0.395%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.24%20.74%20.73%22.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.554.554.7525.00%21.97%21.98%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Dinamo Zagreb (Local) : 64.25% ; FC Thun (Visiteur) : 15.01% ; Match nul : 20.74%. Pour FC Thun (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.66. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.50, soit une espérance positive de +12.55%.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -13.90%E -10.37%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -2.52%E -0.536%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -13.90%E -10.37%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -2.52%E -0.536%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +1.29%E +0.191%K +0.225%G +0.003% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.31%EV -1.71%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -7.70%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.31%EV -1.71%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -7.70%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -8.12%E -5.68%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.59%E -0.998%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -9.40%E -6.67%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -9.40%E -6.67%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -11.97%E -8.74%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -6.21%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -6.96%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.87%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.27%EV -7.71%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -9.21%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.59%E -0.998%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.19%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.19%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -12.89%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.01%EV -10.86%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.59%EV -4.18%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.46%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.85%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.46%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.85%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -17.47%E -3.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -17.04%E -4.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.88% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 18:00 |