L’École des cotes

Dinamo Zagreb v FC Thun

2026-07-28 18:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dinamo Zagreb (Local)

Prévision 68.98%1.45cote équitable
EV -4.81%
Avantage -3.49%
Kelly -12.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.04%69.02%68.98%70.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.371.3876.92%73.80%73.26%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Thun (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.18%8.21cote équitable
EV +0.480%
Avantage +0.058%
Kelly +0.066%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 8.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.38%12.17%12.27%13.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.757.477.508.2514.81%13.38%13.33%12.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.84%5.31cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.388%
Kelly -0.480%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.65%18.81%18.75%21.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.704.705.2023.26%21.30%21.28%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.74%EV -4.81%E -3.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV +0.480%E +0.058%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -9.55%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 19:35
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.26%EV -8.95%E -6.78%K -27.97%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.38%EV -0.738%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.36%EV -4.84%E -0.959%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 15:10
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.26%EV -8.95%E -6.78%K -27.97%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.38%EV -0.738%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.36%EV -4.84%E -0.959%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 15:10
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.51%EV -5.50%E -4.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -2.57%E -0.321%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 19:35
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -8.26%E -6.21%K -25.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.57%E -0.321%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -11.44%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 19:34
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -8.26%E -6.21%K -25.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.57%E -0.321%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -11.44%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 19:35
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.33%E -7.95%K -34.43%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -5.00%E -0.641%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -2.02%E -0.388%K -0.480%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 13:35
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.08%EV -6.19%E -4.55%K -17.20%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.28%EV -6.83%E -0.893%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.64%EV -5.03%E -0.998%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 15:19
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -6.88%E -5.10%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.27%EV -7.44%E -0.979%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.78%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:15
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.81%E -3.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.31%EV -2.02%E -0.388%K -0.480%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 13:46
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.31%EV -6.19%E -4.55%K -17.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -2.02%E -0.388%K -0.480%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 13:45
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.57%E -5.65%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.78%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 18:04
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -4.81%E -3.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -17.09%E -3.88%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -4.81%E -3.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -17.09%E -3.88%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:50
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -4.81%E -3.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -17.09%E -3.88%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:54
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -4.81%E -3.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -17.09%E -3.88%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:55
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -4.81%E -3.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -17.09%E -3.88%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -4.81%E -3.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -17.09%E -3.88%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:54
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -4.81%E -3.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -17.09%E -3.88%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:55
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -4.81%E -3.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -17.09%E -3.88%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:55
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -4.81%E -3.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -17.09%E -3.88%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:55
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -4.81%E -3.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -17.09%E -3.88%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:55
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -6.88%E -5.10%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -13.32%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -10.33%E -7.95%K -34.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.32%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 19:35
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -10.33%E -7.95%K -34.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -8.65%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -15.21%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-25 19:35
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -5.50%E -4.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -9.87%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -6.73%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 06:34
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -5.50%E -4.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -9.87%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -6.73%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 06:34
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -4.81%E -3.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -14.74%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 13:15
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.19%E -4.55%K -17.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -14.74%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.55%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 16:40
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.19%E -4.55%K -17.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -14.74%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.55%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.19%E -4.55%K -17.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -14.74%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.55%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 16:40
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.04%EV -5.50%E -4.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -14.74%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -18.97%E -4.41%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.04%EV -5.50%E -4.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -14.74%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -18.97%E -4.41%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 00:55
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.33%E -7.95%K -34.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -14.74%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.12%EV -10.33%E -7.95%K -34.43%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.83%EV -15.96%E -2.31%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.04%EV -12.38%E -2.66%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 16:15
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 66.96%EV -6.88%E -5.10%K -19.66%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -17.79%E -2.64%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.32%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 06:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 70.16%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%2.5%2026-07-26 06:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 70.16%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%2.5%2026-07-26 06:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.31%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.03%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.66%3.1%2026-07-26 06:00