Idioma:Español
Dinamo Zagreb v FC Thun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dinamo Zagreb (Local)
Predicción 64.25%1.56momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -2.41%
Kelly -7.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.01%64.22%64.45%68.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.411.421.5074.63%70.81%70.67%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Thun (Visitante)
Predicción 15.01%6.66momio equitativo
EV +12.55%
Ventaja +1.67%
Kelly +1.93%
Crecimiento +0.242%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.21%15.03%14.82%16.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.596.507.5018.18%15.17%15.38%13.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.74%4.82momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.312%
Kelly -0.395%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.24%20.74%20.73%22.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.554.554.7525.00%21.97%21.98%21.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Dinamo Zagreb (Local): 64.25%; FC Thun (Visitante): 15.01%; Empate: 20.74%. Para FC Thun (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.66. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +12.55%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -13.90%E -10.37%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -2.52%E -0.536%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -13.90%E -10.37%K -40.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -2.52%E -0.536%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +1.29%E +0.191%K +0.225%G +0.003% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.31%EV -1.71%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -7.70%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.31%EV -1.71%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -7.70%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -8.12%E -5.68%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.59%E -0.998%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -9.40%E -6.67%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -9.40%E -6.67%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -11.97%E -8.74%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -6.21%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -6.96%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.87%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.27%EV -7.71%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -9.21%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.59%E -0.998%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.19%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.19%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -12.89%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.01%EV -10.86%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.59%EV -4.18%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.46%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.85%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.46%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.85%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -17.47%E -3.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -17.04%E -4.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.88% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 18:00 |