預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Dinamo Zagreb v FC Thun

開賽時間: 2026-07-28 18:02 UTC

最終賽果: Dinamo Zagreb 3–2 FC Thun

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

36 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Dinamo Zagreb (主隊)

預測 64.25%1.56公平賠率
EV -3.62%
優勢 -2.41%
Kelly -7.24%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.50

博彩公司預測分布
61.01%64.22%64.45%68.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.341.411.421.5074.63%70.81%70.67%66.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

FC Thun (客隊)

預測 15.01%6.66公平賠率
EV +12.55%
優勢 +1.67%
Kelly +1.93%
成長率 +0.242%

假設最高賠率為 7.50

博彩公司預測分布
12.21%15.03%14.82%16.42%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.506.596.507.5018.18%15.17%15.38%13.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 20.74%4.82公平賠率
EV -1.48%
優勢 -0.312%
Kelly -0.395%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.75

博彩公司預測分布
19.24%20.74%20.73%22.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.004.554.554.7525.00%21.97%21.98%21.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Dinamo Zagreb (主隊):64.25%;FC Thun (客隊):15.01%;和局:20.74%。 對於「FC Thun (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.66的公平十進位賠率。 當時有13家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為7.50,對應+12.55%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (36 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:54
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:54
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:54
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:54
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -13.90%E -10.37%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -2.52%E -0.536%K -0.680%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-28 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.32%EV -13.90%E -10.37%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV +12.55%E +1.67%K +1.93%G +0.242%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -2.52%E -0.536%K -0.680%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-28 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.86%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +1.29%E +0.191%K +0.225%G +0.003%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.31%EV -1.71%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -7.70%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.31%EV -1.71%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -7.70%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 17:49
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -8.12%E -5.68%K -18.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.59%E -0.998%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -9.40%E -6.67%K -22.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 17:49
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -9.40%E -6.67%K -22.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -11.97%E -8.74%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -2.46%E -0.378%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -1.48%E -0.312%K -0.395%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-28 17:54
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -6.21%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 17:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.86%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -6.96%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-28 18:00
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.87%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.27%EV -7.71%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -9.21%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 17:59
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.59%E -0.998%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.19%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-28 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.19%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-28 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.62%E -9.28%K -35.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -9.96%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -12.89%E -3.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-28 17:59
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.01%EV -10.86%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.59%EV -4.18%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 17:50
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.46%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.85%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 17:45
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -11.46%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.85%E -2.79%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 17:45
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.67%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 17:59
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-28 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-28 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.71%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.74%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-28 17:49
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -17.47%E -3.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -17.04%E -4.26%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 17:59
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-07-28 17:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-07-28 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.88%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%0.5%2026-07-28 18:00