Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Napoli v Bodø/Glimt

2026-10-20 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Napoli (Local)

Prediction 60.18%1.66fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.792%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.91%60.11%60.24%61.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.541.541.6467.11%65.11%64.94%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bodø/Glimt (Visit)

Prediction 18.41%5.43fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.232%
Kelly +0.284%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.14%18.42%18.39%20.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.095.125.5022.22%19.63%19.55%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.40%4.67fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.350%
Kelly +0.443%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.39%21.47%21.38%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.274.204.7525.00%23.43%23.81%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Napoli (Local): 60.18%; Bodø/Glimt (Visit): 18.41%; Draw: 21.40%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.67. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.75, producing a positive expected value of +1.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.92%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.56%EV -3.33%E -0.634%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.52%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.443%G +0.007%2.6%2026-10-14 22:10
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.96%EV -1.30%E -0.792%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.98%EV -4.62%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 21.06%EV -0.052%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-14 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.26%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -1.55%E -0.337%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.26%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -1.55%E -0.337%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.88%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.98%EV -1.49%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.62%E -0.576%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.93%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.99%EV -7.01%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV -2.62%E -0.576%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 22:14
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.34%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.80%EV -7.19%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.87%EV -2.83%E -0.624%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.94%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -2.41%E -0.454%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 21:55
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.09%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.87%EV -2.41%E -0.454%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 23:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 21:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -17.14%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 23:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.13%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-14 22:10
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.41%E -0.454%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-14 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 00:40
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-14 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85%EV -7.32%E -4.75%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.61%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85%EV -7.32%E -4.75%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.61%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -3.33%E -0.634%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 21:55
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV +1.28%E +0.232%K +0.284%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 00:46
picklebet_au🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.52%E -5.61%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.40%EV -8.85%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-14 23:38
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -9.77%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-14 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -9.12%E -6.04%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.77%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:39
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-14 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-14 23:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 22:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -3.33%E -0.634%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 00:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%2.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%2.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%2.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.04%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.31%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-10-15 00:55
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%3.5%2026-10-15 01:00