Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Napoli v Bodø/Glimt

2026-10-20 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Napoli (Local)

Prévision 60.18%1.66cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.792%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.91%60.11%60.24%61.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.541.541.6467.11%65.12%64.94%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Bodø/Glimt (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.41%5.43cote équitable
EV +1.28%
Avantage +0.232%
Kelly +0.284%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.14%18.42%18.39%20.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.105.185.5022.22%19.62%19.31%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.40%4.67cote équitable
EV +1.66%
Avantage +0.350%
Kelly +0.443%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.39%21.47%21.38%22.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.274.204.7525.00%23.45%23.81%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Napoli (Local) : 60.18% ; Bodø/Glimt (Visiteur) : 18.41% ; Match nul : 21.40%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.67. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.75, pour une espérance positive de +1.66%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.92%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.56%EV -3.33%E -0.634%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.52%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.443%G +0.007%2.6%2026-10-14 22:10
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.96%EV -1.30%E -0.792%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.98%EV -4.62%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 21.06%EV -0.052%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-14 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.26%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -1.55%E -0.337%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.26%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -1.55%E -0.337%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.88%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.98%EV -1.49%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.62%E -0.576%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.93%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.99%EV -7.01%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV -2.62%E -0.576%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 22:14
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.34%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.80%EV -7.19%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.87%EV -2.83%E -0.624%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.94%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -2.41%E -0.454%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 21:55
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.09%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.87%EV -2.41%E -0.454%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 23:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 21:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -17.14%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 23:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.13%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-14 22:10
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.41%E -0.454%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-14 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-14 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-14 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85%EV -7.32%E -4.75%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.61%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85%EV -7.32%E -4.75%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.61%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -3.33%E -0.634%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 21:55
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV +1.28%E +0.232%K +0.284%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 00:46
picklebet_au🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.52%E -5.61%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.40%EV -8.85%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-14 23:38
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -9.77%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-14 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -9.12%E -6.04%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.77%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:39
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-14 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-14 23:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 22:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -3.33%E -0.634%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 00:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%2.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%2.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%2.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.04%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.31%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-10-15 01:20
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%3.5%2026-10-15 01:00