StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Napoli v Bodø/Glimt

2026-10-20 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Napoli (Heim)

Prognose 60.18%1.66faire Quote
EV -1.30%
Vorteil -0.792%
Kelly -2.03%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.64

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.91%60.11%60.24%61.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.491.541.541.6467.11%65.12%64.94%60.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bodø/Glimt (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.41%5.43faire Quote
EV +1.28%
Vorteil +0.232%
Kelly +0.284%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.14%18.42%18.39%20.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.505.105.185.5022.22%19.62%19.31%18.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 21.40%4.67faire Quote
EV +1.66%
Vorteil +0.350%
Kelly +0.443%
Wachstum +0.007%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.39%21.47%21.38%22.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.274.204.7525.00%23.45%23.81%21.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Napoli (Heim): 60.18%; Bodø/Glimt (Auswärts): 18.41%; Unentschieden: 21.40%. Für Unentschieden entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.67. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 4.75 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.66%.

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.92%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.56%EV -3.33%E -0.634%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.52%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.443%G +0.007%2.6%2026-10-14 22:10
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.96%EV -1.30%E -0.792%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.98%EV -4.62%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 21.06%EV -0.052%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-14 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.26%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -1.55%E -0.337%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.26%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -1.55%E -0.337%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.88%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.98%EV -1.49%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.62%E -0.576%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.93%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.99%EV -7.01%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV -2.62%E -0.576%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 22:14
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.34%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.80%EV -7.19%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.87%EV -2.83%E -0.624%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.94%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -2.41%E -0.454%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 21:55
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.09%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.87%EV -2.41%E -0.454%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 23:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 21:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -17.14%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 23:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.13%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-14 22:10
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.41%E -0.454%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-14 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-14 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-14 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85%EV -7.32%E -4.75%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.61%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85%EV -7.32%E -4.75%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.61%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -3.33%E -0.634%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 21:55
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV +1.28%E +0.232%K +0.284%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 00:46
picklebet_au🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.52%E -5.61%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.40%EV -8.85%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-14 23:38
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -9.77%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-14 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -9.12%E -6.04%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.77%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:39
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-14 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-14 23:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 22:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -3.33%E -0.634%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 00:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%2.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%2.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%2.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.04%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.31%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-10-15 01:20
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%3.5%2026-10-15 01:00