Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Napoli v Bodø/Glimt

2026-10-20 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Napoli (Casa)

Previsione 60.18%1.66quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.792%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.91%60.11%60.24%61.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.491.541.541.6467.11%65.12%64.94%60.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Bodø/Glimt (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.41%5.43quota equa
EV +1.28%
Vantaggio +0.232%
Kelly +0.284%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.14%18.42%18.39%20.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.105.185.5022.22%19.62%19.31%18.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.40%4.67quota equa
EV +1.66%
Vantaggio +0.350%
Kelly +0.443%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.39%21.47%21.38%22.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.274.204.7525.00%23.45%23.81%21.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Napoli (Casa): 60.18%; Bodø/Glimt (Trasferta): 18.41%; Pareggio: 21.40%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.67. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.75, con un valore atteso positivo del +1.66%.

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.92%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.56%EV -3.33%E -0.634%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.52%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.443%G +0.007%2.6%2026-10-14 22:10
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.96%EV -1.30%E -0.792%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.98%EV -4.62%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 21.06%EV -0.052%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-14 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.26%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -1.55%E -0.337%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.26%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -1.55%E -0.337%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.88%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.98%EV -1.49%E -0.278%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.62%E -0.576%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.93%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.99%EV -7.01%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV -2.62%E -0.576%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 22:14
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.34%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.80%EV -7.19%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.87%EV -2.83%E -0.624%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.94%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -2.41%E -0.454%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 21:55
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.09%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.87%EV -2.41%E -0.454%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 23:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 21:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -17.14%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 23:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.13%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-14 22:10
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.41%E -0.454%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-14 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-14 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-14 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85%EV -7.32%E -4.75%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.61%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85%EV -7.32%E -4.75%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.61%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 23:39
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -3.33%E -0.634%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 21:55
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV +1.28%E +0.232%K +0.284%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 00:46
picklebet_au🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.52%E -5.61%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.40%EV -8.85%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-14 23:38
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -9.77%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-14 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.61%EV -10.33%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -4.25%E -0.817%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -9.12%E -6.04%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.77%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-14 23:39
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-14 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-14 23:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.92%E -5.18%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.93%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-14 22:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -3.33%E -0.634%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 00:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%2.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%2.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%2.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.04%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.31%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-10-15 01:20
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%3.5%2026-10-15 01:00