Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lille v Galatasaray

2026-10-21 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lille (Local)

Prediction 44.04%2.27fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.599%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%44.07%44.03%44.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.102.102.2448.78%47.57%47.62%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Galatasaray (Visit)

Prediction 29.54%3.39fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.315%
Kelly -0.449%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.45%29.52%29.49%30.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.133.103.3533.33%31.92%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.42%3.78fair odd
EV -0.923%
Edge -0.246%
Kelly -0.336%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%26.41%26.48%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.483.453.7529.85%28.73%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lille (Local): 44.04%; Galatasaray (Visit): 29.54%; Draw: 26.42%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -0.923%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.76%EV -2.24%E -0.676%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%EV -0.923%E -0.246%K -0.336%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-14 23:29
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.66%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.57%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.97%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.77%EV -4.89%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.57%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 23:25
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 23:44
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.72%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -0.923%E -0.246%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-14 23:39
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -1.05%E -0.315%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -8.85%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 22:20
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.10%EV -6.67%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.57%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 23:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.25%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 22:19
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.24%E -0.607%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 23:39
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 23:40
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-14 23:43
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-14 22:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 23:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 23:39
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 23:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 23:38
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 22:20
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 22:55
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 23:53
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:29
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.85%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 23:37
picklebet_au🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 22:20
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -8.39%E -4.03%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-14 22:20
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-14 23:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-14 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.35%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -7.85%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.51%EV -9.38%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 22:17
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-15 00:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%4.2%2026-10-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%4.2%2026-10-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%4.2%2026-10-15 00:15
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%6.0%2026-10-15 00:15
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%8.5%2026-10-14 22:20