StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lille v Galatasaray

2026-10-21 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lille (Heim)

Prognose 44.04%2.27faire Quote
EV -1.34%
Vorteil -0.599%
Kelly -1.08%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.24

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
43.22%44.07%44.03%44.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.102.102.2448.78%47.57%47.62%44.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Galatasaray (Auswärts)

Prognose 29.54%3.39faire Quote
EV -1.05%
Vorteil -0.315%
Kelly -0.449%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.45%29.52%29.49%30.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.133.103.3533.33%31.92%32.26%29.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.42%3.78faire Quote
EV -0.923%
Vorteil -0.246%
Kelly -0.336%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.79%26.41%26.48%27.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.353.483.453.7529.85%28.73%28.99%26.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Lille (Heim): 44.04%; Galatasaray (Auswärts): 29.54%; Unentschieden: 26.42%. Für Unentschieden entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.78. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 3.75, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.923%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.76%EV -2.24%E -0.676%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%EV -0.923%E -0.246%K -0.336%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-14 23:29
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.66%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.57%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.97%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.77%EV -4.89%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.57%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 23:25
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 23:44
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.72%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -0.923%E -0.246%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-14 23:39
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -1.05%E -0.315%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -8.85%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 22:20
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.10%EV -6.67%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.57%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 23:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.25%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 22:19
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.24%E -0.607%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 23:39
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 23:40
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-14 23:43
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-14 22:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 23:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 23:39
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 23:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 23:38
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 22:20
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 22:55
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 23:53
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:29
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.85%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 23:37
picklebet_au🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 22:20
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -8.39%E -4.03%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-14 22:20
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-14 23:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-14 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.35%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -7.85%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.51%EV -9.38%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 22:17
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-15 00:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%4.2%2026-10-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%4.2%2026-10-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%4.2%2026-10-15 00:15
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%6.0%2026-10-15 00:15
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%8.5%2026-10-14 22:20