Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Lille v Galatasaray

2026-10-21 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Lille (Casa)

Previsione 44.04%2.27quota equa
EV -1.34%
Vantaggio -0.599%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.22%44.07%44.03%44.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.102.102.2448.78%47.57%47.62%44.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Galatasaray (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.54%3.39quota equa
EV -1.05%
Vantaggio -0.315%
Kelly -0.449%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.45%29.52%29.49%30.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.133.103.3533.33%31.92%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.42%3.78quota equa
EV -0.923%
Vantaggio -0.246%
Kelly -0.336%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.79%26.41%26.48%27.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.483.453.7529.85%28.73%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Lille (Casa): 44.04%; Galatasaray (Trasferta): 29.54%; Pareggio: 26.42%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.78. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.75, con un valore atteso del -0.923%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.76%EV -2.24%E -0.676%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%EV -0.923%E -0.246%K -0.336%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-14 23:29
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.66%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.57%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.97%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.77%EV -4.89%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.57%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 23:25
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 23:44
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.72%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -0.923%E -0.246%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-14 23:39
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -1.05%E -0.315%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -8.85%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 22:20
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.10%EV -6.67%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.57%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 23:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.25%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 22:19
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.24%E -0.607%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 23:39
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 23:40
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-14 23:43
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-14 22:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 23:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 23:39
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 23:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 23:38
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 22:20
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 22:55
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 23:53
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:29
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.85%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 23:37
picklebet_au🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 22:20
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -8.39%E -4.03%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-14 22:20
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-14 23:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-14 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.35%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -7.85%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.51%EV -9.38%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 22:17
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-15 00:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%4.2%2026-10-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%4.2%2026-10-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%4.2%2026-10-15 00:15
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%6.0%2026-10-15 00:15
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%8.5%2026-10-14 22:20