StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lille v Galatasaray

2026-10-21 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lille (Hemma)

Prognos 44.04%2.27rättvist odds
EV -1.34%
Fördel -0.599%
Kelly -1.08%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.24

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.22%44.07%44.03%44.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.102.102.2448.78%47.57%47.62%44.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Galatasaray (Borta)

Prognos 29.54%3.39rättvist odds
EV -1.05%
Fördel -0.315%
Kelly -0.449%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.45%29.52%29.49%30.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.133.103.3533.33%31.92%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.42%3.78rättvist odds
EV -0.923%
Fördel -0.246%
Kelly -0.336%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.79%26.41%26.48%27.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.353.483.453.7529.85%28.73%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Lille (Hemma): 44.04%; Galatasaray (Borta): 29.54%; Oavgjort: 26.42%. För Oavgjort motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.78. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.75, med väntevärdet -0.923%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.76%EV -2.24%E -0.676%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%EV -0.923%E -0.246%K -0.336%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-14 23:29
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.66%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.57%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.97%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.77%EV -4.89%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.57%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 23:25
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 23:44
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.72%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -0.923%E -0.246%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-14 23:39
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -1.05%E -0.315%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -8.85%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 22:20
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.10%EV -6.67%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.57%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 23:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.25%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 22:19
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.24%E -0.607%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 23:39
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 23:40
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-14 23:43
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-14 22:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 23:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 23:39
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 23:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 23:38
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 22:20
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 23:39
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 22:55
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 23:53
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:29
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 22:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.85%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 23:37
picklebet_au🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-14 22:20
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -8.39%E -4.03%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-14 22:20
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:34
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -9.27%E -4.50%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-14 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-14 23:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-14 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.35%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -7.85%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.51%EV -9.38%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 22:17
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-14 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-15 00:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%4.2%2026-10-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%4.2%2026-10-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%4.2%2026-10-15 00:15
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%6.0%2026-10-15 00:15
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%8.5%2026-10-14 22:20