Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.93
assuming max odds 4.00
assuming max odds 4.24
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trabzonspor (Local): 50.84%; Basaksehir (Visit): 25.41%; Draw: 23.75%. For Basaksehir (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV +1.62%E +0.405%K +0.540%G +0.009% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.19%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.32%EV +0.859%E +0.216%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.49%EV -2.38%E -0.579%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -0.920%E -0.236%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -0.920%E -0.236%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -2.19%E -0.569%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.97%E -4.41%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -10.01%E -5.65%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.18%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.83%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 22.99%EV -4.04%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.18%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.83%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 22.99%EV -4.04%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.09%EV -3.40%E -1.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.02%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.89%EV +0.708%E +0.167%K +0.218%G +0.002% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -1.87%E -0.971%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -7.02%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.52%EV -7.61%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.64%EV -5.43%E -2.92%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -13.31%E -3.65%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.21%EV -10.52%E -5.98%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-19 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 16:58 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 16:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -12.04%E -6.96%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -21.62%E -6.55%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.57%EV -11.53%E -6.63%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -14.89%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.37%EV -13.06%E -7.64%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.71%EV -14.89%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59% | 2.9% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.27% | 15.0% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |