L’École des cotes

Trabzonspor v Basaksehir

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 17:04 UTC

Score final : Trabzonspor 1–1 Basaksehir

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Trabzonspor (Local)

Prévision 50.84%1.97cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.971%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.18%50.87%50.50%52.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.831.851.9358.48%54.63%54.05%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Basaksehir (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.41%3.94cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.405%
Kelly +0.540%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.39%25.31%25.73%26.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.633.604.0029.85%27.54%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.75%4.21cote équitable
EV +0.708%
Avantage +0.167%
Kelly +0.218%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.89%23.82%23.77%25.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.813.804.2430.30%26.24%26.32%23.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV +1.62%E +0.405%K +0.540%G +0.009%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 17:00
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.19%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.32%EV +0.859%E +0.216%K +0.289%G +0.002%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.49%EV -2.38%E -0.579%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 16:59
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -0.920%E -0.236%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -0.920%E -0.236%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:01
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -2.19%E -0.569%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 16:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:00
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.97%E -4.41%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 17:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 17:01
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -10.01%E -5.65%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:59
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 17:00
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 17:00
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.18%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.83%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.99%EV -4.04%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 17:00
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.18%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.83%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.99%EV -4.04%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 17:00
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.09%EV -3.40%E -1.79%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.02%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.89%EV +0.708%E +0.167%K +0.218%G +0.002%3.0%2026-04-19 16:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 17:00
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -1.87%E -0.971%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -7.02%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.52%EV -7.61%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:00
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:00
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:00
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.64%EV -5.43%E -2.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 17:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:01
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:59
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:01
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -13.31%E -3.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.21%EV -10.52%E -5.98%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 16:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:58
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:58
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 16:59
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 17:01
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 16:59
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 17:00
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 17:00
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 17:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 17:01
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 17:01
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -12.04%E -6.96%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -21.62%E -6.55%K -9.40%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.57%EV -11.53%E -6.63%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -14.89%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 50.37%EV -13.06%E -7.64%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.71%EV -14.89%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 17:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-04-19 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-04-19 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-04-19 17:01
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.5%2026-04-19 17:01
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%2.9%2026-04-19 17:01
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 46.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.27%15.0%2026-04-19 17:01